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新冠疫情期间机场网络弹性评估框架的定量方法。

Quantitative method for resilience assessment framework of airport network during COVID-19.

机构信息

School of Air Traffic Management, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan, Sichuan, China.

Operation Supervisory Center, Civil Aviation Administration of China, Beijing, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2021 Dec 3;16(12):e0260940. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0260940. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

The resilience and vulnerability of airport networks are significant challenges during the COVID-19 global pandemic. Previous studies considered node failure of networks under natural disasters and extreme weather. Herein, we propose a complex network methodology combined with data-driven to assess the resilience of airport networks toward global-scale disturbance using the Chinese airport network (CAN) and the European airport network (EAN) as a case study. The assessment framework includes vulnerability and resilience analyses from the network- and node-level perspectives. Subsequently, we apply the framework to analyze the airport networks in China and Europe. Specifically, real air traffic data for 232 airports in China and 82 airports in Europe are selected to form the CAN and EAN, respectively. The complex network analysis reveals that the CAN and the EAN are scale-free small-world networks, that are resilient to random attacks. However, the connectivity and vulnerability of the CAN are inferior to those of the EAN. In addition, we select the passenger throughput from the top-50 airports in China and Europe to perform a comparative analysis. By comparing the resilience evaluation of individual airports, we discovered that the factors of resilience assessment of an airport network for global disturbance considers the network metrics and the effect of government policy in actual operations. Additionally, this study also proves that a country's emergency response-ability towards the COVID-19 has a significantly affectes the recovery of its airport network.

摘要

机场网络的弹性和脆弱性是 COVID-19 大流行期间的重大挑战。以前的研究考虑了自然灾害和极端天气下网络的节点故障。在此,我们提出了一种复杂网络方法,并结合数据驱动方法,使用中国机场网络 (CAN) 和欧洲机场网络 (EAN) 作为案例研究,评估全球范围内机场网络的弹性。评估框架包括从网络和节点角度的脆弱性和弹性分析。随后,我们应用该框架分析了中国和欧洲的机场网络。具体来说,选择了中国 232 个机场和欧洲 82 个机场的实际空中交通数据,分别构成了 CAN 和 EAN。复杂网络分析表明,CAN 和 EAN 都是具有无标度小世界特性的网络,对随机攻击具有弹性。然而,CAN 的连通性和脆弱性劣于 EAN。此外,我们选择了中国和欧洲前 50 大机场的旅客吞吐量进行对比分析。通过比较单个机场的弹性评估,我们发现,评估全球干扰下机场网络弹性的因素不仅要考虑网络指标,还要考虑实际运营中的政府政策的影响。此外,本研究还证明了一个国家对 COVID-19 的应急响应能力对其机场网络的恢复有重大影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/65c6/8641889/d59222a95545/pone.0260940.g001.jpg

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