Sun Xiaoqian, Wandelt Sebastian, Zhang Anming
National Key Laboratory of CNS/ATM, School of Electronic and Information Engineering, Beihang University, 100191, Beijing, China.
National Engineering Laboratory of Multi-Modal Transportation Big Data, 100191, Beijing, China.
J Air Transp Manag. 2020 Oct;89:101928. doi: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2020.101928. Epub 2020 Sep 12.
The current outbreak of COVID-19 is an unprecedented event in air transportation. This is probably the first time that global aviation contributed to the planet-wide spread of a pandemic, with casualties in over two hundred countries. As of August 23rd, 2020, the number of infected cases has topped 23 million, reportedly relating to more than 800,000 deaths worldwide. However, there is also a second side of the pandemic: it has led to an unmatched singularity in the global air transportation system. In what could be considered a highly uncoordinated, almost chaotic manner, countries have closed their borders, and people are reluctant/unable to travel due to country-specific lock-down measures. Accordingly, aviation is one of the industries that has been suffering most due to the consequences of the pandemic outbreak, despite probably being one of its largest initial drivers. In this study, we investigate the impact of COVID-19 on global air transportation at different scales, ranging from worldwide airport networks where airports are nodes and links between airports exist when direct flights exist, to international country networks where countries are contracted as nodes, and to domestic airport networks for representative countries/regions. We focus on the spatial-temporal evolutionary dynamics of COVID-19 in air transportation networks. Our study provides a comprehensive empirical analysis on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on aviation from a complex system perspective using network science tools.
当前新冠疫情的爆发在航空运输领域是前所未有的事件。这可能是全球航空业首次促使一种大流行病在全球范围内传播,波及两百多个国家并造成人员伤亡。截至2020年8月23日,感染病例数已超过2300万,据报道全球死亡人数超过80万。然而,这场大流行病还有另一面:它导致全球航空运输系统出现了前所未有的独特情况。各国以一种极不协调、近乎混乱的方式关闭了边境,并且由于各国实施的封锁措施,人们不愿/无法出行。因此,航空业尽管可能是疫情最初最大的推动因素之一,但却是受疫情影响最严重的行业之一。在本研究中,我们调查了新冠疫情在不同尺度上对全球航空运输的影响,范围从以机场为节点、存在直飞航班时机场之间有连接的全球机场网络,到以国家为节点的国际国家网络,再到针对代表性国家/地区的国内机场网络。我们关注新冠疫情在航空运输网络中的时空演化动态。我们的研究从复杂系统视角使用网络科学工具,对新冠疫情大流行对航空业的影响进行了全面的实证分析。
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