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肌肉减少症预示着接受手术治疗的肝细胞癌合并胆管细胞癌患者预后不良。

Sarcopenia predicts an adverse prognosis in patients with combined hepatocellular carcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma after surgery.

机构信息

Department of Liver Surgery & Liver Transplantation, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy and Cancer Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University and Collaborative Innovation Center of Biotherapy, Chengdu, China.

出版信息

Cancer Med. 2022 Jan;11(2):317-331. doi: 10.1002/cam4.4448. Epub 2021 Dec 5.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of sarcopenia in combined hepatocellular carcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CC) patients after surgery has not been evaluated, while the efficacy of the available tumor stage for cHCC-CC remains controversial.

METHODS

All consecutive cHCC-CC patients after surgery were retrieved. The patients were stratified by the sex-specific medians of the psoas muscle index into groups with or without sarcopenia. Prognosis was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier (K-M) method, and the K-M curves were adjusted by inverse probability weighting (IPW). A nomogram based on Cox regression analysis was established and further compared with primary liver cancer (PLC) stages by internal validation based on bootstrap resampling and k-fold cross-validation.

RESULTS

A total of 153 patients were stratified into sarcopenia and non-sarcopenia groups. The sarcopenia group revealed statistically worse overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) using the K-M method and K-M curves adjusted by IPW. Multivariate Cox regression analyses suggested sarcopenia as an independent risk factor for OS (HR = 1.55; p = 0.040) and DFS (HR = 1.55; p = 0.019). Subgroup analysis based on baseline variables showed sarcopenia as a stable risk factor for the prognosis. Our nomogram outperformed PLC stages in prognostic prediction, as evidenced by the best c-index, area under the curve, and positive improvement of the net reclassification index and integrated discrimination improvement. A fivefold cross-validation revealed consistent results. Decision curve analysis revealed higher net benefits of the nomogram than PLC stages.

CONCLUSIONS

Sarcopenia is an independent and stable risk factor for the prognosis of cHCC-CC patients after surgery. Our nomogram might aid high-risk patient identification and clinical decisions.

摘要

背景

目前尚未评估肌少症对接受手术治疗后的肝细胞癌合并胆管细胞癌(cHCC-CC)患者的预后价值,而现有的肿瘤分期对 cHCC-CC 的疗效仍存在争议。

方法

本研究回顾性分析了所有接受手术治疗后的 cHCC-CC 患者。根据竖脊肌指数的性别特异性中位数,将患者分为肌少症组和非肌少症组。采用 Kaplan-Meier(K-M)法分析预后,并采用逆概率加权(IPW)调整 K-M 曲线。基于 Cox 回归分析建立列线图,并通过内部验证(基于 bootstrap 重采样和 k 折交叉验证)与原发性肝癌(PLC)分期进行比较。

结果

共 153 例患者被分为肌少症组和非肌少症组。K-M 法和 IPW 调整后的 K-M 曲线显示,肌少症组的总生存(OS)和无病生存(DFS)均较差。多因素 Cox 回归分析表明,肌少症是 OS(HR=1.55;p=0.040)和 DFS(HR=1.55;p=0.019)的独立危险因素。基于基线变量的亚组分析表明,肌少症是预后的稳定危险因素。我们的列线图在预后预测方面优于 PLC 分期,表现为最佳 C 指数、曲线下面积以及净重新分类指数和综合判别改善的阳性改善。五重交叉验证结果一致。决策曲线分析表明,列线图的净获益高于 PLC 分期。

结论

肌少症是 cHCC-CC 患者手术后预后的独立且稳定的危险因素。我们的列线图可能有助于高危患者的识别和临床决策。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1f7e/8729053/7af369489fd3/CAM4-11-317-g003.jpg

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