Chen Jiahui, Wang Rui, Gilby Nancy Benovich, Wei Guo-Wei
Department of Mathematics, Michigan State University, MI 48824, USA.
Spartan Innovations, 325 East Grand River Ave., Suite 355, East Lansing, MI 48823 USA.
ArXiv. 2021 Dec 1:arXiv:2112.01318v1.
The latest severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variant Omicron (B.1.1.529) has ushered panic responses around the world due to its contagious and vaccine escape mutations. The essential infectivity and antibody resistance of the SARS-CoV-2 variant are determined by its mutations on the spike (S) protein receptor-binding domain (RBD). However, a complete experimental evaluation of Omicron might take weeks or even months. Here, we present a comprehensive quantitative analysis of Omicron's infectivity, vaccine-breakthrough, and antibody resistance. An artificial intelligence (AI) model, which has been trained with tens of thousands of experimental data points and extensively validated by experimental data on SARS-CoV-2, reveals that Omicron may be over ten times more contagious than the original virus or about twice as infectious as the Delta variant. Based on 132 three-dimensional (3D) structures of antibody-RBD complexes, we unveil that Omicron may be twice more likely to escape current vaccines than the Delta variant. The Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) from Eli Lilly may be seriously compromised. Omicron may also diminish the efficacy of mAbs from Celltrion and Rockefeller University. However, its impact on Regeneron mAb cocktail appears to be mild.
最新的严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)变种奥密克戎(B.1.1.529)因其具有传染性和疫苗逃逸突变,在全球引发了恐慌反应。SARS-CoV-2变种的基本传染性和抗体抗性由其刺突(S)蛋白受体结合域(RBD)上的突变决定。然而,对奥密克戎进行全面的实验评估可能需要数周甚至数月时间。在此,我们对奥密克戎的传染性、疫苗突破和抗体抗性进行了全面的定量分析。一个人工智能(AI)模型,已通过数万个实验数据点进行训练,并经SARS-CoV-2实验数据广泛验证,结果显示奥密克戎的传染性可能比原始病毒高十多倍,或约为德尔塔变种的两倍。基于132个抗体-RBD复合物的三维(3D)结构,我们发现奥密克戎逃避当前疫苗的可能性可能是德尔塔变种的两倍。美国食品药品监督管理局(FDA)批准的礼来公司的单克隆抗体(mAbs)可能会受到严重影响。奥密克戎也可能降低Celltrion和洛克菲勒大学的单克隆抗体的效力。然而,它对再生元单克隆抗体鸡尾酒疗法的影响似乎较小。