Xue Haili, Lan Xiao, Zhang Qin, Liang Haoguang, He Zixiao
Beijing Key Laboratory of Belt and Raod's Data Analysis and Decision Support, China Academy of the Belt and Road Initiative, Beijing International Studies University, Beijing, 100024 China.
Ann Oper Res. 2021 Dec 3:1-21. doi: 10.1007/s10479-021-04440-2.
Green Belt and Road development has gradually become a global consensus, and the quantitative assessment of the green development level constitutes the basis for building a green Belt and Road high-quality development path in practice. In this paper, the Belt and Road Green development index (BRGI) was proposed in three dimensions, i.e., green nature, green economy and green society, to evaluate the green development spatial and temporal characteristics of the 80 participating countries in the Belt and Road Initiative from 2010 to 2018, and based on the quadrant method, green development cooperation model was established. The results showed: (1) In 2018,the average BRGI of participating countries is 54.38, and more than half of the countries have not reached the average level; From a regional perspective, the green development level in Europe is the highest, followed by Northeast Asia and Southeast Asia, and it is the lowest in South Asia and Africa. (2) At the considered time scale, the green development level in the Belt and Road participation countries has been increased from 2010 to 2018. (3) The green Belt and Road development cooperation modes can be divided into the all-round high-level energy attraction cooperation model, systematic win-win cooperation model for the whole field, three-dimensional refined empowerment cooperation model and multilevel high-trust cooperation. According to the different cooperation modes, the study also provides policy recommendations to promote for green development.
绿色“一带一路”建设已逐渐成为全球共识,绿色发展水平的定量评估构成了在实践中构建绿色“一带一路”高质量发展路径的基础。本文从绿色自然、绿色经济和绿色社会三个维度提出了“一带一路”绿色发展指数(BRGI),用以评估2010年至2018年“一带一路”倡议中80个参与国的绿色发展时空特征,并基于象限法建立了绿色发展合作模式。结果表明:(1)2018年,参与国的BRGI平均为54.38,超过半数国家未达到平均水平;从区域来看,欧洲的绿色发展水平最高,其次是东北亚和东南亚,而南亚和非洲最低。(2)在所考察的时间尺度上,2010年至2018年“一带一路”参与国的绿色发展水平有所提高。(3)绿色“一带一路”发展合作模式可分为全方位高层次能源吸引合作模式、全领域系统共赢合作模式、立体精准赋能合作模式和多层次高信任合作。根据不同的合作模式,该研究还提出了促进绿色发展的政策建议。