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基于水平和效率双重视角的绿色发展绩效评价——以中国长江经济带为例。

Green Development Performance Evaluation Based on Dual Perspectives of Level and Efficiency: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, China.

机构信息

School of Business, Hubei University, Wuhan 430062, China.

Center for Tourism Development and Management Studies of Hubei, Wuhan 430062, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Jul 29;19(15):9306. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19159306.

Abstract

In the context of continuing to promote the construction of an ecological civilization, it is of great significance to explore green development performance. However, most of the literature is based on a single perspective of level or efficiency, lacking a comprehensive examination of both. It is not scientific to explore how to promote green development only from a single perspective, which may be a new advancement by breaking the conventional thinking focusing only on level or efficiency. On this basis, we first established evaluation index systems of green development performance based on a theoretical framework. Furthermore, green development performance was measured with the entropy weight technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) and super-EBM models, and finally, we analyzed the spatial and temporal evolution patterns of green development performance using the ESDA method and examined its influencing factors with a geographic detector (GD) and econometric models. The main results were as follows: (1) The trend of the green development level in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2004 to 2017 had an inverted "N" shape, while the overall average green development efficiency continuously increased. (2) In terms of spatial and temporal patterns, both the green development level and green development efficiency showed "high in the east and low in the west" spatial divergence characteristics. In terms of the spatial and temporal evolution pattern of the green development level, the L-L clusters were mainly distributed in the western region. However, for green development efficiency, the L-L clusters were mostly distributed around the H-H clusters. (3) The results of the influencing factor analysis indicated that industrial structure and people's welfare are still important factors of the green development level. The improvement of green development efficiency was mainly driven by economic development, and the inhibiting effect of energy consumption is significant. In addition, the effect of opening up has not yet changed from a "pollution paradise" to a "pollution halo".

摘要

在持续推进生态文明建设的背景下,探究绿色发展绩效具有重要意义。然而,大多数文献仅从水平或效率的单一视角展开,缺乏对两者的综合考察。仅从单一视角探讨如何促进绿色发展是不科学的,这可能是突破传统思维,关注水平或效率的新进展。在此基础上,我们首先基于理论框架构建了绿色发展绩效评价指标体系,采用熵权 TOPSIS 法和超效率 EBM 模型测算了绿色发展绩效,并运用 ESDA 方法分析了绿色发展绩效的时空演变格局,利用地理探测器(GD)和计量经济模型检验了其影响因素。主要结果如下:(1)2004—2017 年长江经济带绿色发展水平呈倒“N”型趋势,整体平均绿色发展效率不断提高。(2)从时空格局来看,绿色发展水平和绿色发展效率均呈现“东高西低”的空间分异特征。绿色发展水平的时空演化格局呈 L-L 集聚,主要分布在西部地区;绿色发展效率则呈 L-H 集聚,且围绕 H-H 集聚分布。(3)影响因素分析结果表明,产业结构和人民福利仍然是绿色发展水平的重要因素。绿色发展效率的提高主要受经济发展驱动,能源消耗的抑制作用显著。此外,对外开放的作用尚未从“污染天堂”转变为“污染光环”。

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