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肯尼亚妇女承受气候变化代价

Kenyan Women Bearing the Cost of Climate Change.

机构信息

Public Health Department, St. Catherine University, St. Paul, MN 55105, USA.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Dec 2;18(23):12697. doi: 10.3390/ijerph182312697.

Abstract

Climate change-induced crises can aggravate intimate partner violence (IPV); the loss of income when weather affects the agricultural industry can exacerbate violence at home. In Kenya, climate change has increased precipitation during the rainy season and raised temperatures during the dry season, resulting in floods and droughts. For 75% of Kenyans, agricultural activities are their primary source of income. This research aims to assess patterns in IPV and severe weather events (SWE). We examined Integrated Public Use Microdata Series-Demographic Health Survey (IPUMS-DHS) data from 2008 and 2014 for IPV severity and frequency. We used Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT) data along with GPS coordinates to identify SWEs (defined as any flood >10 days) by county in Kenya. Overall, women were more likely to experience IPV if their spouse worked in agriculture (Odds Ratio (OR) = 1.22, 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.10-1.36). There was a 60% increase in the odds of reporting IPV in counties that experienced an SWE as compared to counties that did not experience an SWE (OR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.35-1.89). This analysis further supports the growing body of research that suggests a relationship between climate change-related weather events and violence against women.

摘要

气候变化引发的危机可能会加剧亲密伴侣暴力(IPV);当天气影响农业产业时,收入的损失可能会加剧家庭内部的暴力。在肯尼亚,气候变化导致雨季降水增加,旱季气温升高,引发了洪水和干旱。对于 75%的肯尼亚人来说,农业活动是他们的主要收入来源。本研究旨在评估 IPV 和恶劣天气事件(SWE)的模式。我们检查了 2008 年和 2014 年综合公共使用微观数据系列-人口健康调查(IPUMS-DHS)中关于 IPV 严重程度和频率的数据。我们使用紧急事件数据库(EM-DAT)数据以及 GPS 坐标,通过肯尼亚各县确定了 SWE(定义为任何持续超过 10 天的洪水)。总体而言,如果配偶从事农业工作,女性更有可能经历 IPV(优势比(OR)=1.22,95%置信区间(CI):1.10-1.36)。与没有经历 SWE 的县相比,经历 SWE 的县报告 IPV 的几率增加了 60%(OR=1.60,95%CI:1.35-1.89)。这一分析进一步支持了越来越多的研究,表明气候变化相关的天气事件与针对妇女的暴力之间存在关系。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/88d2/8656926/37d71051a5d1/ijerph-18-12697-g001.jpg

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