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中国东北地区耕地利用碳排放的核算及驱动因素。

Accounting and drivers of carbon emission from cultivated land utilization in Northeast China.

机构信息

Institute of Applied Ecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang 110016, China.

Management School, Shenyang Normal University, Shenyang 110034, China.

出版信息

Ying Yong Sheng Tai Xue Bao. 2021 Nov 15;32(11):3865-3871. doi: 10.13287/j.1001-9332.202111.003.

Abstract

With the continuous development of China's society and economy, the breadth and depth of cultivated land resources development and utilization have been continuously expanded, while the production efficiency and scale of cultivated land gradually have been improved. There were rapidly increases of carbon emission induced from cultivated land management, such as the agricultural inputs and energy consumptions. Taking carbon emission from cultivated land utilization in Northeast China as the research object, we determined the carbon emission accounting framework system according to the life cycle method. Based on estimation results of carbon emissions from 1979 to 2015 in Northeast China, the driver factor system affecting agricultural carbon emissions was constructed using logarithmic mean Divisia index model and the influence mechanism of cultivated land carbon emissions in Northeast China was deeply explored. The results showed that total carbon emission from cultivated land utilization in 2015 was 21.9% higher than that in 1979 and carbon emission intensity in 2015 was 1.54 t·hm lower than that in 1979. Soil management and agricultural inputs were the main sources of carbon emissions from cultivated land accounting for 83.6% of the total carbon emissions. The increases of land productivity and science and technology fund allocation rate were found to be the driving factors of carbon emission from cultivated land utilization. On the contrary, the reduction of input/output ratio, cultivated land area per capita and intensity of science and technology investment decreased carbon emission from cultivated land utilization.

摘要

随着中国社会经济的不断发展,耕地资源开发利用的广度和深度不断扩大,耕地生产效率和规模逐步提高。耕地管理所产生的碳排放(如农业投入和能源消耗)迅速增加。本文以东北地区耕地利用的碳排放为研究对象,根据生命周期法确定了碳排放核算框架体系。基于东北地区 1979 年至 2015 年碳排放的估算结果,利用对数平均迪氏指数模型构建了影响农业碳排放的驱动因素体系,深入探讨了东北地区耕地碳排放的影响机制。结果表明,2015 年东北地区耕地利用的总碳排放量比 1979 年增长了 21.9%,碳排放量强度比 1979 年降低了 1.54 t·hm。耕地土壤管理和农业投入是耕地碳排放核算的主要来源,占总碳排放量的 83.6%。土地生产力的提高和科技资金配置率的增加被认为是耕地利用碳排放的驱动因素。相反,投入/产出比、人均耕地面积和科技投资强度的降低减少了耕地利用的碳排放。

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