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区域一体化对可持续经济增长重要吗?促进“一带一路”国家中外国直接投资、贸易开放、信息技术出口和资本形成的作用。

Does regional integration matter for sustainable economic growth? Fostering the role of FDI, trade openness, IT exports, and capital formation in BRI countries.

作者信息

Zaman Mubasher, Pinglu Chen, Hussain Sayed Irshad, Ullah Atta, Qian Ningyu

机构信息

School of Management, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.

Department of Social Sciences, SZABIST, Karachi, Pakistan.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2021 Dec 6;7(12):e08559. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e08559. eCollection 2021 Dec.

Abstract

IT exports, capital formation, FDI, and trade openness are the key elements to bring sustainable economic growth to any country, since these act as a lifeline to bring sustainability to countries. This study aims to estimate the impact of IT exports, gross capital formation, FDI, and trade openness on sustainable economic growth with regional integration of BRI countries using the annual panel data from 2013 to 2018. Moderating variable is regional integration, while the trade freedom index, investment freedom index, real interest rate, and inflation are control variables. The two-step system GMM technique is applied to the sample as the number of moment conditions is greater than the number of parameters. The results suggest that FDI and gross capital formation have a substantial positive impact on economic growth, whereas IT exports and trade openness have a negative, insignificant impact. The overall results suggest that China's outward FDI has boosted the economic growth in countries while trade openness has a negligible since most developing countries need to invest in industrialization and encourage exports based growth.

摘要

信息技术出口、资本形成、外国直接投资和贸易开放度是任何国家实现可持续经济增长的关键要素,因为这些要素是为各国带来可持续性的生命线。本研究旨在利用2013年至2018年的年度面板数据,估计信息技术出口、总资本形成、外国直接投资和贸易开放度对“一带一路”国家区域一体化下可持续经济增长的影响。调节变量是区域一体化,而贸易自由指数、投资自由指数、实际利率和通货膨胀是控制变量。由于矩条件的数量大于参数的数量,因此对样本应用两步系统广义矩估计技术。结果表明,外国直接投资和总资本形成对经济增长有显著的正向影响,而信息技术出口和贸易开放度有负面的、不显著的影响。总体结果表明,中国的对外直接投资促进了各国的经济增长,而贸易开放度的影响可以忽略不计,因为大多数发展中国家需要投资于工业化并鼓励出口带动型增长。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e1bb/8669309/2cca55411406/ga1.jpg

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