Niilo R. I. Ryti is with the Center for Environmental and Respiratory Health Research (CERH), Faculty of Medicine, University of Oulu, and Medical Research Center Oulu, University of Oulu and Oulu University Hospital, Oulu, Finland. Jouni Nurmi, Ari Salo, and Markku Kuisma are with the Department of Emergency Medicine and Services, Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland. Harri Antikainen is with the Geography Research Unit, University of Oulu. Jouni J. K. Jaakkola is with CERH, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oulu, and Medical Research Center Oulu, University of Oulu and Oulu University Hospital, and the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki.
Am J Public Health. 2022 Jan;112(1):107-115. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2021.306549.
To test the a priori hypothesis that out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is associated with cold weather during all seasons, not only during the winter. We applied a case‒crossover design to all cases of nontraumatic OHCA in Helsinki, Finland, over 22 years: 1997 to 2018. We statistically defined cold weather for each case and season, and applied conditional logistic regression with 2 complementary models a priori according to the season of death. There was an association between cold weather and OHCA during all seasons, not only during the winter. Each additional cold day increased the odds of OHCA by 7% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 4%, 10%), with similar strength of association during the autumn (6%; 95% CI = 0%, 12%), winter (6%; 95% CI = 1%, 12%), spring (8%; 95% CI = 2%, 14%), and summer (7%; 95% CI = 0%, 15%). Cold weather, defined according to season, increased the odds of OHCA during all seasons in similar quantity. Early warning systems and cold weather plans focus implicitly on the winter season. This may lead to incomplete measures in reducing excess mortality related to cold weather. (. 2022;112(1):107-115. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2021.306549).
为了检验预先假设,即院外心脏骤停 (OHCA) 与所有季节的寒冷天气有关,而不仅仅是在冬季。我们对芬兰赫尔辛基 22 年来所有非创伤性 OHCA 病例应用病例交叉设计:1997 年至 2018 年。我们对每个病例和季节的寒冷天气进行了统计学定义,并根据死亡季节应用了有条件的逻辑回归和 2 个互补模型。寒冷天气与所有季节的 OHCA 有关,而不仅仅是在冬季。每个额外的寒冷日都会使 OHCA 的几率增加 7%(95%置信区间 [CI] = 4%,10%),秋季(6%;95%CI=0%,12%)、冬季(6%;95%CI=1%,12%)、春季(8%;95%CI=2%,14%)和夏季(7%;95%CI=0%,15%)的关联强度相似。根据季节定义的寒冷天气会增加所有季节 OHCA 的几率,数量相似。预警系统和寒冷天气计划都隐含地侧重于冬季。这可能导致与寒冷天气相关的超额死亡率的措施不完整。(2022;112(1):107-115。https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2021.306549)。