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极端温度与院外心脏骤停。炎热气候国家的全国性研究。

Extreme temperature and out-of-hospital-cardiac-arrest. Nationwide study in a hot climate country.

机构信息

Department of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, School of Medicine, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer Sheva, Israel.

Clinical Research Center, Soroka University Medical Center, Beer Sheva, Israel.

出版信息

Environ Health. 2021 Apr 5;20(1):38. doi: 10.1186/s12940-021-00722-1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Out-of-hospital-cardiac arrest (OHCA) is frequently linked to environmental exposures. Climate change and global warming phenomenon have been found related to cardiovascular morbidity, however there is no agreement on their impact on OHCA occurrence. In this nationwide analysis, we aimed to assess the incidence of the OHCA events attended by emergency medical services (EMS), in relation to meteorological conditions: temperature, humidity, heat index and solar radiation.

METHODS

We analyzed all adult cases of OHCA in Israel attended by EMS during 2016-2017. In the case-crossover design, we compared ambient exposure within 72 h prior to the OHCA event with exposure prior to the four control times using conditional logistic regression in a lag-distributed non-linear model.

RESULTS

There were 12,401 OHCA cases (68.3% were pronounced dead-on-scene). The patients were on average 75.5 ± 16.2 years old and 55.8% of them were males. Exposure to 90th and 10th percentile of temperature adjusted to humidity were positively associated with the OHCA with borderline significance (Odds Ratio (OR) =1.20, 95%CI 0.97; 1.49 and OR 1.16, 95%CI 0.95; 1.41, respectively). Relative humidity below the 10th percentile was a risk factor for OHCA, independent of temperature, with borderline significance (OR = 1.16, 95%CI 0.96; 1.38). Analysis stratified by seasons revealed an adverse effect of exposure to 90th percentile of temperature when estimated in summer (OR = 3.34, 95%CI 1.90; 3.5.86) and exposure to temperatures below 10th percentile in winter (OR = 1.75, 95%CI 1.23; 2.49). Low temperatures during a warm season and high temperatures during a cold season had a protective effect on OHCA. The heat index followed a similar pattern, where an adverse effect was demonstrated for extreme levels of exposure.

CONCLUSIONS

Evolving climate conditions characterized by excessive heat and low humidity represent risk factors for OHCA. As these conditions are easily avoided, by air conditioning and behavioral restrictions, necessary prevention measures are warranted.

摘要

背景

院外心脏骤停(OHCA)常与环境暴露有关。气候变化和全球变暖现象与心血管发病率有关,但它们对 OHCA 发生的影响尚无定论。在这项全国性分析中,我们旨在评估与气象条件(温度、湿度、热指数和太阳辐射)相关的紧急医疗服务(EMS)救治的 OHCA 事件发生率。

方法

我们分析了 2016-2017 年期间以色列所有由 EMS 救治的成年 OHCA 病例。在病例交叉设计中,我们使用条件逻辑回归在滞后分布的非线性模型中,将 OHCA 事件发生前 72 小时内的环境暴露与四个对照时间前的暴露进行比较。

结果

共有 12401 例 OHCA 病例(68.3%现场宣布死亡)。患者平均年龄为 75.5±16.2 岁,55.8%为男性。经湿度调整后的温度的第 90 百分位和第 10 百分位与 OHCA 呈正相关,具有边缘显著性(优势比(OR)分别为 1.20,95%CI 0.97;1.49 和 1.16,95%CI 0.95;1.41)。相对湿度低于第 10 百分位是 OHCA 的一个危险因素,与温度无关,具有边缘显著性(OR=1.16,95%CI 0.96;1.38)。按季节分层分析显示,夏季暴露于第 90 百分位温度时(OR=3.34,95%CI 1.90;3.5.86)和冬季暴露于第 10 百分位以下温度时(OR=1.75,95%CI 1.23;2.49),温度的第 90 百分位对 OHCA 有不利影响。在温暖季节温度较低和寒冷季节温度较高时,OHCA 具有保护作用。热指数也呈现出类似的模式,暴露于极端水平时显示出不利影响。

结论

以过热和低湿度为特征的不断变化的气候条件是 OHCA 的危险因素。由于这些条件很容易通过空调和行为限制来避免,因此有必要采取必要的预防措施。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fa65/8022396/76ffb6f9c78b/12940_2021_722_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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