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中国碳排放强度与影子经济的空间交互作用研究。

Study on the spatial interaction between carbon emission intensity and shadow economy in China.

机构信息

Key Laboratory of Ocean Energy Utilization and Energy Conservation of Ministry of Education, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China.

School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2022 Mar 20;813:152616. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.152616. Epub 2021 Dec 25.

Abstract

Both high carbon emission intensity (CEI) and large scale of shadow economy in China are the undesirable products of economic development with too fast growth rate. For the rapid and healthy development of the economy in China, the research on the relationship between the two should attract more attention, while the relevant literatures are very few at present. According to the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2004 to 2016, this paper firstly examines the spatial correlation between CEI and the scale of shadow economic. Then verifies the interaction relationship between them with SPDM (spatial panel Dubin Model). Moreover, the robustness test is conducted with three different spatial weight matrices. As the interaction between CEI and shadow economy has been proved, providing new ideas for carbon emission reduction, environmental protection, and healthy economic development with rapid rate in the future. The specific conclusions are as follows: first, CEI and shadow economy both have significant positive spatial autocorrelation. Second, there is a spatial interaction between CEI and shadow economy, indicating provincial cooperation plays a very important role in both economic growth and environment protection. Third, the impacts from economic development on both CEI and shadow economy satisfy the EKC hypothesis. Also, the development of the tertiary industry plays a positive role in promoting the growth of CEI, while promotes and inhibits the expansion of shadow economic scale at the same time.

摘要

中国的高碳排放强度(CEI)和大规模的影子经济都是经济增长过快带来的不良产物。为了实现中国经济的快速和健康发展,对两者关系的研究应该引起更多的关注,而目前相关文献却非常少。本文利用 2004-2016 年中国 30 个省份的面板数据,首先检验了 CEI 与影子经济规模之间的空间相关性。然后利用 SPDM(空间面板杜宾模型)验证了它们之间的相互作用关系。此外,还使用了三种不同的空间权重矩阵进行了稳健性检验。由于已经证明了 CEI 和影子经济之间存在相互作用,这为未来提供了新的思路,即在实现快速经济增长的同时,减少碳排放、保护环境、促进经济健康发展。具体结论如下:首先,CEI 和影子经济都具有显著的正空间自相关性。其次,CEI 和影子经济之间存在空间相互作用,表明省级合作在经济增长和环境保护方面都发挥了非常重要的作用。第三,经济发展对 CEI 和影子经济的影响都满足 EKC 假说。此外,第三产业的发展对 CEI 的增长起到了积极的推动作用,同时也促进和抑制了影子经济规模的扩张。

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