College of Literature Law & Economics, Wuhan University of Science & Technology, Wuhan, 430065, Hubei, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Mar;28(11):14131-14143. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-11557-7. Epub 2020 Nov 18.
Due to the imbalance of technological level and industrial structure in regional economic development, the same carbon source can bring differentiated carbon emission levels in different regions, thus making the carbon emission show significant regional differences. In order to explore the regional differences in China's provincial carbon emission intensity and the effect of relevant influencing factors, this paper combines EKC model and STIRPAT model to conduct research. Using carbon emission intensity and other influencing factors of China's 30 provinces ranging from 2005 to 2017 to construct a panel data, the authors use exploratory spatial data analysis and Spatial Durbin Model to study the spatial effect of carbon emission intensity in China's provincial regions and the impact of different development factors on carbon emission intensity. The results show that from 2005 to 2017, China's carbon emission intensity gradually declined from east to west and from south to north. The inter-provincial carbon emission intensity of China presents an agglomeration effect in space, and the agglomeration effect gradually weakens with time. In addition, reducing energy intensity can reduce carbon emission intensity to a large extent. By optimizing industrial structure, increasing the degree of foreign trade and promoting financial development, carbon emission intensity can also be inhibited. Therefore, reducing the energy intensity of various industries and establishing inter-regional carbon emission cooperation mechanism will be effective to control the carbon emission intensity.
由于区域经济发展中技术水平和产业结构的不平衡,相同的碳源在不同地区可能会带来差异化的碳排放水平,从而使得碳排放呈现显著的区域差异。为了探究中国省级碳排放量强度的区域差异及其相关影响因素的作用,本文结合 EKC 模型和 STIRPAT 模型进行研究。利用中国 2005-2017 年 30 个省份的碳排放量强度及其他影响因素构建面板数据,采用探索性空间数据分析和空间杜宾模型,研究中国省级区域碳排放量强度的空间效应以及不同发展因素对碳排放量强度的影响。结果表明,2005-2017 年,中国的碳排放量强度逐渐从东向西、从南向北递减。中国省际碳排放量强度在空间上呈现集聚效应,且集聚效应随时间逐渐减弱。此外,降低能源强度可以在很大程度上降低碳排放量强度。通过优化产业结构、增加对外贸易程度和促进金融发展,也可以抑制碳排放量强度。因此,降低各产业的能源强度和建立区域间的碳排放量合作机制将是有效控制碳排放量强度的手段。