Merz Larissa, Puhan Milo A
Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute (EBPI), University of Zurich, Switzerland.
Swiss Med Wkly. 2021 Dec 22;151:w30083. doi: 10.4414/smw.2021.w30083. eCollection 2021 Dec 20.
Alternative nicotine products such as electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS) and tobacco heating systems have gained worldwide popularity. Findings suggest ENDS to be probably less harmful than combustible cigarettes, but evidence on long-term health effects is still lacking. The potential risk reduction by using tobacco heating systems instead of combustible cigarettes has largely been studied by tobacco industry-sponsored research. Evidence on the extent of risk reduction is key for risk-adapted taxation policies, which will be discussed soon in the Swiss parliament. Evidence on the effects of tax policies in the USA shows that the level of taxation of ENDS, tobacco heating systems and combustible cigarettes has an effect on switches between these products. Therefore, excise taxes influencing one another need to be considered. In Switzerland, tobacco heating systems are currently taxed at a level of 12%, whereas ENDS are not subject to tobacco excise taxation as yet, because they do not meet the legal definition of a tobacco product. This article analyses approaches for imposing taxes on tobacco and nicotine products and possible outcomes, depending on the intended public health goals. At least three tax models can be considered. Tax model A would apply a very small tax on ENDS and a higher tax for tobacco products, which could increase incentives for smokers to switch to vaping but comes with risks of increased vaping initiation among the youth and subsequent switch to or dual use of tobacco products. In contrast, model B would levy a moderate tax on ENDS and an increased tax on tobacco products, which could limit initiation among youth, incentivise to switch from smoking to vaping and discourage dual use. In model C, a comparable tax level for ENDS, tobacco heating systems and combustible cigarettes is levied. This could have overall positive effects in reducing tobacco- and nicotine-associated burden of disease by discouraging initiation in youth, overall consumption and dual use, but could discourage switching to less harmful products. When applying these tax models to current sales prices of these products we found that no public health goal, such as protecting youth and reducing tobacco-associated morbidity and mortality can be achieved. The price of tobacco products is too low to achieve any price differentiation that reflects the different risks associated with ENDS and tobacco products. In order to achieve any public health goal with one of these tax models, prices for tobacco products need to be increased substantially.
电子烟等替代尼古丁产品以及烟草加热系统在全球范围内广受欢迎。研究结果表明,电子烟的危害可能低于可燃香烟,但长期健康影响的证据仍然不足。使用烟草加热系统而非可燃香烟可能降低的风险,很大程度上是由烟草行业赞助的研究进行的。风险降低程度的证据对于风险适应性税收政策至关重要,瑞士议会很快将对此进行讨论。美国税收政策影响的证据表明,电子烟、烟草加热系统和可燃香烟的税收水平会影响这些产品之间的转换。因此,需要考虑相互影响的消费税。在瑞士,烟草加热系统目前的税率为12%,而电子烟尚未征收烟草消费税,因为它们不符合烟草制品的法定定义。本文分析了对烟草和尼古丁产品征税的方法以及可能的结果,具体取决于预期的公共卫生目标。至少可以考虑三种税收模式。税收模式A对电子烟征收极低的税,对烟草制品征收更高的税,这可能会增加吸烟者转向吸电子烟的动机,但存在年轻人吸电子烟开始率上升以及随后转向烟草制品或同时使用两种产品的风险。相比之下,模式B对电子烟征收适度的税,对烟草制品征收更高的税,这可能会限制年轻人开始使用,激励从吸烟转向吸电子烟,并抑制同时使用两种产品。在模式C中,对电子烟、烟草加热系统和可燃香烟征收相当的税率。这可能在减少与烟草和尼古丁相关的疾病负担方面产生总体积极影响,通过抑制年轻人开始使用、总体消费和同时使用两种产品,但可能会抑制转向危害较小的产品。当将这些税收模式应用于这些产品的当前销售价格时,我们发现无法实现任何公共卫生目标,如保护年轻人以及降低与烟草相关的发病率和死亡率。烟草制品的价格过低,无法实现反映电子烟和烟草制品不同风险的任何价格差异。为了通过这些税收模式之一实现任何公共卫生目标,烟草制品的价格需要大幅提高。