Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Research Institute for Health Development, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran.
Department of Health in Emergencies and Disasters, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
PLoS One. 2021 Dec 31;16(12):e0262005. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0262005. eCollection 2021.
During the first half of 2019, many provinces of Iran were affected by floods, which claimed the lives of 82 people. The present study aimed to investigate the behavioral, health related and demographic risk factors associated with deaths due to floods. We measured the odds ratio and investigated the contribution and significance of the factors in relation to mortality. This case-control study was conducted in the cities affected by flood in Iran. Data were collected on the flood victims using a questionnaire. Survivors, a member of the flood victim's family, were interviewed. In total, 77 subjects completed the survey in the case group, and 310 subjects completed the survey in the control group. The findings indicated that factors such as the age of less than 18 years, low literacy, being trapped in buildings/cars, and risky behaviors increased the risk of flood deaths. Regarding the behavioral factors, perceived/real swimming skills increased the risk of flood deaths although it may seem paradoxical. This increment is due to increased self confidence in time of flood. On the other hand, skills and abilities such as evacuation, requesting help, and escape decreased the risk of flood deaths. According to the results, the adoption of support strategies, protecting vulnerable groups, and improving the socioeconomic status of flood-prone areas could prevent and reduce the risk of flood deaths.
2019 年上半年,伊朗多个省份遭受洪水袭击,造成 82 人死亡。本研究旨在调查与洪水死亡相关的行为、健康相关和人口统计学风险因素。我们测量了比值比,并调查了这些因素与死亡率的关系的贡献和意义。这项病例对照研究在伊朗受洪水影响的城市进行。使用问卷收集洪水灾民的数据。对幸存者,即洪水受害者的一名家庭成员进行了访谈。共有 77 名对象在病例组中完成了调查,310 名对象在对照组中完成了调查。结果表明,年龄小于 18 岁、文化程度低、被困在建筑物/汽车中、危险行为等因素增加了洪水死亡的风险。关于行为因素,尽管看似矛盾,但感知/实际游泳技能增加了洪水死亡的风险。这种增加是由于在洪水期间增加了自信。另一方面,疏散、寻求帮助和逃生等技能和能力降低了洪水死亡的风险。根据研究结果,采取支持策略、保护弱势群体以及改善洪水多发地区的社会经济地位,可以预防和降低洪水死亡的风险。