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基于群体决策的新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情防控方案选择

The selection of COVID-19 epidemic prevention and control programs based on group decision-making.

作者信息

Cui Chunsheng, Li Baiqiu, Wang Liu

机构信息

College of Computer and Information Engineering, Henan University of Economics and Law, 180 Jinshui East Road, Zhengzhou, 450046 Henan China.

出版信息

Complex Intell Systems. 2022;8(2):1653-1662. doi: 10.1007/s40747-021-00620-6. Epub 2022 Jan 4.

DOI:10.1007/s40747-021-00620-6
PMID:35004130
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8724238/
Abstract

COVID-19 has been wreaking havoc on the world for close to two years. As the virus continues to mutate, epidemic prevention and control has become a long and experienced war. In the face of the sudden spread of virus strains, how to quickly and effectively formulate prevention and control plans are essential to ensuring the safety and social stability of cities. This paper is based on the characteristics, namely, its persistence and the high transmissibility of mutated strains, as well as the database of epidemic prevention and control plans formed as part of the existing prevention and control measures. Then, epidemic prevention experts select effective alternatives from the program database and rank their preferences through the preliminary analysis of the local epidemic situation. The process of the integration scheme aims to minimize the differences in an effort to maximize the needs of the local epidemic. Once the consensus ranking of the scheme is obtained, the final prevention and control scheme can be determined. The proposed method of this paper can optimize the opinions of the epidemic prevention expert group and form a consensus decision, whilst also saving time by carrying out the work effectively, which is of certain practical significance to the prevention and control effect of local outbreaks.

摘要

新冠疫情肆虐全球已近两年。随着病毒不断变异,疫情防控已成为一场长期的持久战。面对病毒毒株的突然传播,如何快速有效地制定防控方案对于确保城市安全和社会稳定至关重要。本文基于变异毒株的持久性和高传播性等特点,以及作为现有防控措施一部分形成的防控方案数据库。然后,防疫专家从方案数据库中选择有效的备选方案,并通过对当地疫情的初步分析对其偏好进行排序。整合方案的过程旨在尽量减少差异,以最大程度满足当地疫情的需求。一旦获得方案的共识排名,即可确定最终的防控方案。本文提出的方法可以优化防疫专家组的意见并形成共识决策,同时通过有效开展工作节省时间,这对当地疫情的防控效果具有一定的现实意义。

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Healthcare (Basel). 2021 Feb 10;9(2):196. doi: 10.3390/healthcare9020196.
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A timely update of global COVID-19 vaccine development.及时更新全球 COVID-19 疫苗研发进展。
Emerg Microbes Infect. 2020 Dec;9(1):2379-2380. doi: 10.1080/22221751.2020.1838246.
3
Identify potent SARS-CoV-2 main protease inhibitors via accelerated free energy perturbation-based virtual screening of existing drugs.通过基于加速自由能微扰的现有药物虚拟筛选来鉴定有效的 SARS-CoV-2 主要蛋白酶抑制剂。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2020 Nov 3;117(44):27381-27387. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2010470117. Epub 2020 Oct 13.
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Forecasting of COVID-19 time series for countries in the world based on a hybrid approach combining the fractal dimension and fuzzy logic.基于分形维数与模糊逻辑相结合的混合方法对世界各国新冠疫情时间序列进行预测。
Chaos Solitons Fractals. 2020 Nov;140:110242. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110242. Epub 2020 Aug 24.
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Modeling COVID-19 epidemic in Heilongjiang province, China.中国黑龙江省新冠肺炎疫情建模
Chaos Solitons Fractals. 2020 Sep;138:109949. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109949. Epub 2020 May 29.
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