Business School, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China.
Yangtze Institute for Conservation and Development, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Jan 5;19(1):586. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19010586.
The coupling and coordination development of the environment and economy (CC2E) is one of the most vital issues to sustainable development. This paper adopted the coupling coordination model, projection pursuit algorithm, and random forest model to explore the spatial-temporal evolution and influencing factors of the CC2E in the Yangtze River Delta from 2015 to 2019, respectively. The results showed that: (1) The degree of coupling coordination (DCC) of the CC2E in most cities of the Yangtze River Delta has risen from primary coordination to intermediate coordination. (2) In the spatial perspective, the distribution of DCC is correlated with geographical location. The value of DCC in the western region was significantly lower than that of the eastern cities. (3) The influencing factors results showed that the GDP in the economic subsystem and the annual average concentration of PM2.5 in the environmental subsystem were the most influencing factors of DCC in the Yangtze River Delta. The established index system of CC2E and the measurements of CC2E provide a new idea for how to achieve sustainable development. Meanwhile, this study can provide recommendations for formulating the environmental protection and economic development policy.
环境与经济的耦合协调发展(CC2E)是可持续发展的最关键问题之一。本研究采用耦合协调模型、投影寻踪算法和随机森林模型,分别探讨了 2015 年至 2019 年长三角地区 CC2E 的时空演变及其影响因素。结果表明:(1)长三角地区大部分城市的 CC2E 耦合协调度(DCC)从初级协调上升到中级协调。(2)从空间角度来看,DCC 的分布与地理位置相关。西部地区的 DCC 值明显低于东部城市。(3)影响因素结果表明,经济子系统中的 GDP 和环境子系统中 PM2.5 的年平均浓度是长三角 DCC 的最主要影响因素。所建立的 CC2E 指标体系和 CC2E 的测算为实现可持续发展提供了新的思路。同时,本研究可为制定环境保护和经济发展政策提供建议。