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一百七十年的压力源侵蚀了加利福尼亚变暖景观中鲑鱼渔业的气候恢复力。

One hundred-seventy years of stressors erode salmon fishery climate resilience in California's warming landscape.

机构信息

Ocean Associates Inc., Under Contract to Northwest Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA, Seattle, Washington, USA.

Fish Ecology Division, Northwest Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA, Seattle, Washington, USA.

出版信息

Glob Chang Biol. 2022 Apr;28(7):2183-2201. doi: 10.1111/gcb.16029. Epub 2022 Jan 25.

Abstract

People seek reliable natural resources despite climate change. Diverse habitats and biologies stabilize productivity against disturbances like climate, prompting arguments to promote climate-resilient resources by prioritizing complex, less-modified ecosystems. These arguments hinge on the hypothesis that simplifying and degrading ecosystems will reduce resources' climate resilience, a process liable to be cryptically evolving across landscapes and human generations, but rarely documented. Here, we examined the industrial era (post 1848) of California's Central Valley, chronicling the decline of a diversified, functional portfolio of salmon habitats and life histories and investigating for empirical evidence of lost climate resilience in its fishery. Present perspectives indicate that California's dynamic, warming climate overlaid onto its truncated, degraded habitat mosaic severely constrains its salmon fishery. We indeed found substantial climate constraints on today's fishery, but this reflected a shifted ecological baseline. During the early stages of a stressor legacy that transformed the landscape and -- often consequently -- compressed salmon life history expression, the fishery diffused impacts of dry years across a greater number of fishing years and depended less on cool spring-summer transitions. The latter are important given today's salmon habitats, salmon life histories, and resource management practices, but are vanishing with climate change while year-to-year variation in fishery performance is rising. These findings give empirical weight to the idea that human legacies influence ecosystems' climate resilience across landscapes and boundaries (e.g., land/sea). They also raise the question of whether some contemporary climate effects are recent and attributable not only to increasing climate stress, but to past and present human actions that erode resilience. In general, it is thus worth considering that management approaches that prioritize complex, less-modified ecosystems may stabilize productivity despite increasing climate stress and such protective actions may be required for some ecological services to persist into uncertain climate futures.

摘要

尽管气候变化,人们仍在寻找可靠的自然资源。多样化的生境和生物稳定性可以抵御气候变化等干扰,从而促使人们提出通过优先考虑复杂、较少受干扰的生态系统来提高资源的气候适应能力。这些论点取决于这样一种假设,即简化和退化生态系统将降低资源的气候适应能力,而这一过程在景观和人类世代中可能在悄然演变,但很少有记录。在这里,我们研究了加利福尼亚中央谷的工业时代(1848 年后),记录了多样化、功能齐全的鲑鱼生境和生活史组合的衰退,并调查了其渔业中失去气候适应能力的实证证据。目前的观点表明,加利福尼亚动态、变暖的气候叠加在其截断、退化的生境镶嵌体上,严重限制了其鲑鱼渔业。我们确实发现了当今渔业面临的重大气候限制,但这反映了一个生态基线的转变。在一个改变景观的压力源遗留下来的早期阶段——通常因此压缩了鲑鱼的生活史表达——渔业通过在更多的捕捞年份中分散干旱年份的影响,并减少对凉爽的春季-夏季过渡的依赖,来分散影响。鉴于当今的鲑鱼生境、鲑鱼生活史和资源管理实践,后者很重要,但随着气候变化,这些生境正在消失,而渔业表现的年际变化正在上升。这些发现为这样一种观点提供了经验依据,即人类遗产会影响景观和边界(例如,陆地/海洋)上的生态系统的气候适应能力。它们还提出了一个问题,即一些当代气候影响是否是最近的,不仅归因于不断增加的气候压力,还归因于侵蚀适应能力的过去和现在的人类行为。总的来说,因此值得考虑的是,优先考虑复杂、较少受干扰的生态系统的管理方法可能会在气候压力不断增加的情况下稳定生产力,而这种保护行动可能是一些生态系统服务在不确定的气候未来中持续存在所必需的。

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