Liu Qiao, Zhou Zhen, Luo Xia, Yi Lidan, Peng Liubao, Wan Xiaomin, Tan Chongqing, Zeng Xiaohui
Department of Pharmacy, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China.
Menzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia.
Front Pharmacol. 2022 Jan 10;12:803626. doi: 10.3389/fphar.2021.803626. eCollection 2021.
To compare the cost-effectiveness of the combination of pembrolizumab and chemotherapy (Pembro+Chemo) versus pembrolizumab monotherapy (Pembro) as the first-line treatment for metastatic non-squamous and squamous non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with PD-L1expression ≥50%, respectively, from a US health care perspective. A comprehensive Makrov model were designed to compare the health costs and outcomes associated with first-line Pembro+Chemo and first-line Pembro over a 20-years time horizon. Health states consisted of three main states: progression-free survival (PFS), progressive disease (PD) and death, among which the PFS health state was divided into two substates: PFS while receiving first-line therapy and PFS with discontinued first-line therapy. Two scenario analyses were performed to explore satisfactory long-term survival modeling. In base case analysis, for non-squamous NSCLC patients, Pembro+Chemo was associated with a significantly longer life expectancy [3.24 vs 2.16 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs)] and a substantially greater healthcare cost ($341,237 vs $159,055) compared with Pembro, resulting in an ICER of $169,335/QALY; for squamous NSCLC patients, Pembro+Chemo was associated with a slightly extended life expectancy of 0.22 QALYs and a marginal incremental cost of $3,449 compared with Pembro, resulting in an ICER of $15,613/QALY. Our results were particularly sensitive to parameters that determine QALYs. The first scenario analysis yielded lower ICERs than our base case results. The second scenario analysis founded Pembro+Chemo was dominated by Pembro. For metastatic non-squamous NSCLC patients with PD-L1 expression ≥50%, first-line Pembro+Chemo was not cost-effective when compared with first-line Pembro. In contrast, for the squamous NSCLC patient population, our results supported the first-line Pembro+Chemo as a cost-effective treatment. Although there are multiple approaches that are used for extrapolating long-term survival, the optimal method has yet to be determined.
从美国医疗保健的角度,比较帕博利珠单抗与化疗联合用药(帕博利珠单抗+化疗)和帕博利珠单抗单药治疗(帕博利珠单抗)分别作为一线治疗方案用于治疗PD-L1表达≥50%的转移性非鳞状和鳞状非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)的成本效益。设计了一个综合马尔可夫模型,以比较20年时间范围内一线帕博利珠单抗+化疗和一线帕博利珠单抗相关的医疗成本和治疗结果。健康状态包括三个主要状态:无进展生存期(PFS)、疾病进展(PD)和死亡,其中PFS健康状态又分为两个子状态:接受一线治疗时的PFS和一线治疗中断后的PFS。进行了两种情景分析,以探索令人满意的长期生存模型。在基础病例分析中,对于非鳞状NSCLC患者,与帕博利珠单抗相比,帕博利珠单抗+化疗与显著更长的预期寿命相关(3.24对比2.16质量调整生命年[QALY]),且医疗成本大幅更高(341,237美元对比159,055美元),导致增量成本效果比为169,335美元/QALY;对于鳞状NSCLC患者,与帕博利珠单抗相比,帕博利珠单抗+化疗的预期寿命略有延长0.22 QALY,边际增量成本为3,449美元,导致增量成本效果比为15,613美元/QALY。我们的结果对确定QALY的参数特别敏感。第一种情景分析得出的增量成本效果比低于我们的基础病例结果。第二种情景分析发现帕博利珠单抗+化疗被帕博利珠单抗主导。对于PD-L1表达≥50%的转移性非鳞状NSCLC患者,与一线帕博利珠单抗相比,一线帕博利珠单抗+化疗不具有成本效益。相比之下,对于鳞状NSCLC患者群体,我们的结果支持一线帕博利珠单抗+化疗作为一种具有成本效益的治疗方法。尽管有多种方法用于推断长期生存,但最佳方法尚未确定。
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