Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Ghent University Hospital, Corneel Heymanslaan 10, 9000, Ghent, Belgium.
Department of Internal Medicine and Paediatrics, Renal Division, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
Arch Gynecol Obstet. 2022 Aug;306(2):571-575. doi: 10.1007/s00404-022-06418-2. Epub 2022 Feb 2.
In this correspondence, we highlight general and domain-specific caveats in the development and validation of prediction models.
Development and use of the "QUiPP" application, a tool for preterm birth prediction which is supported by the United Kingdom National Health Service, is scrutinised and commented on.
We highlight and elaborate ten points which may be perceived to be unclear or potentially misleading.
While the QUiPP application has high potential, it lacks transparency (on certain aspects related to model development) and proper validation. This precludes transportability to settings with other treatment policies and to other countries where the app has been made publicly available.
在本通信中,我们强调了在预测模型的开发和验证中存在的一般和特定领域的注意事项。
我们仔细审查和评论了“QUiPP”应用程序的开发和使用情况,该应用程序是英国国民保健服务系统支持的一种早产预测工具。
我们强调并详细说明了可能被认为不清楚或具有潜在误导性的十点。
虽然 QUiPP 应用程序具有很大的潜力,但它缺乏透明度(在与模型开发相关的某些方面)和适当的验证。这使得它无法在具有其他治疗政策的环境中以及在该应用程序已公开提供的其他国家中进行移植。