新冠疫情期间马拉蒂亚的超额死亡情况。
Excess Deaths in Malatya in the COVID-19 Pandemic.
作者信息
Aytemur Zeynep Ayfer, Yalçınsoy Murat, Arslan Ahmet Kadir, Hacıevliyagil Süleyman Savaş
机构信息
Faculty of Medicine, Department of Pulmonology, Inönü University, Malatya, Turkey.
Faculty of Medicine, Department of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, Inönü University, Malatya, Turkey.
出版信息
Turk Thorac J. 2021 Nov;22(6):473-476. doi: 10.5152/TurkThoracJ.2021.21039.
OBJECTIVE
In our study, the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic in Malatya province, other than confirmed case deaths, were investigated.
MATERIAL AND METHODS
The records of those who died between 2016 and 2020 were reviewed on the official website of the Malatya Metropolitan Municipality, and the numbers of deaths in those 5 years were recorded on a weekly basis. The arithmetic mean of the deaths between 2016 and 2019 was calculated, and it was investigated whether the number of deaths in 2020 was more than expected.
RESULTS
In 2020, 1743 (61%) excess deaths were detected. While the mean number of deaths reported 4 years before 2020 was 2860, it was determined that the number of deaths in 2020 was 4603, and there were 1743 (61%) excess deaths.
CONCLUSION
The deaths occurred in Malatya during the COVID-19 pandemic were more than expected. It has been supposed that some deaths were of polymerase chain reaction negative and hence unrecorded COVID-19 patients' deaths, and some deaths were caused by other indirect effects of the pandemic.
目的
在我们的研究中，调查了新冠疫情对马拉蒂亚省造成的影响，而非确诊病例死亡情况。
材料与方法
查阅了马拉蒂亚市官网2016年至2020年间的死亡记录，并按周记录这5年的死亡人数。计算2016年至2019年间死亡人数的算术平均值，并调查2020年的死亡人数是否超过预期。
结果
2020年检测到1743例（61%）超额死亡。2020年前4年报告的平均死亡人数为2860人，而2020年的死亡人数为4603人，超额死亡人数为1743例（61%）。
结论
新冠疫情期间马拉蒂亚发生的死亡人数超过预期。据推测，一些死亡病例是聚合酶链反应阴性且未记录的新冠患者死亡，还有一些死亡是由疫情的其他间接影响导致的。
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