The Johns Hopkins School of Medicine.
Arthroscopy. 2022 Feb;38(2):247-249. doi: 10.1016/j.arthro.2021.08.027.
The Delphi Consensus Process is a tool to allow diverse expert opinion to be consolidated to better understand complex problems. The process has recently been applied to orthopaedic treatment options. While a piece of the puzzle, the strengths and weaknesses of this process must be understood to allow the orthopaedist to apply the conclusions of the Delphi Consensus process effectively. It is important to recognize that expert opinion has been upended time and time again by carefully collected clinical-outcome data. It is unclear whether the visions of the Oracle are due to wisdom or toxic fumes resulting in a strange trance.
德尔菲共识过程是一种将不同专家意见整合起来以更好地理解复杂问题的工具。该过程最近已应用于骨科治疗选择。虽然这是解决问题的一部分，但必须了解该过程的优缺点，以便矫形外科医生能够有效地应用德尔菲共识过程的结论。重要的是要认识到，专家意见一次又一次地被精心收集的临床结果数据所颠覆。目前尚不清楚Oracle 的远见是出于智慧还是有毒烟雾导致的奇怪恍惚。
