Villavicencio Leon, Svancara Austin M, Kelley-Baker Tara, Tefft Brian C
AAA Foundation for Traffic Safety, Washington, District of Columbia.
Department of Psychology, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama.
J Adolesc Health. 2022 May;70(5):757-762. doi: 10.1016/j.jadohealth.2021.10.038. Epub 2022 Feb 4.
This study examines the relative risk of death among crash-involved teenage drivers in relation to the number and ages of passengers present.
We performed cross-sectional analysis of police-reported crashes in the United States in years 2016-2019 to estimate rate ratios for death among drivers aged 16-17 years by passenger composition (no passengers, one teen, ≥two teens, teens and adults aged 20-34 years, adults aged 20-34 years only, ≥one adult aged 35-64 years). Models were adjusted for confounding and effect modification related to driver, crash, and environmental factors.
Crash-involved teen drivers carrying ≥2 teen passengers were twice as likely to die as teens driving alone. The driver was seven times as likely to die when carrying a mix of teen and young adult passengers compared with teens driving alone. Teen drivers' risk of death was lowest in the presence of an adult passenger aged 35-64 years. Carrying one teen passenger presents greater risk of death than driving alone for male teen drivers but not for females.
When teen drivers crash, they are more likely to die if they are carrying teen and/or young adult passengers than if they are driving alone or with a mature adult. The results support the current graduated licensing policies restricting young novice drivers from carrying teenage passengers. Results also help to clarify why previous studies have found that young passengers are associated with increased risk of fatal crashes, but not nonfatal crashes: it appears that passengers may have an effect on crash severity.
本研究探讨涉及撞车事故的青少年驾驶员的相对死亡风险与车内乘客数量及年龄之间的关系。
我们对2016 - 2019年美国警方报告的撞车事故进行横断面分析,以估计16 - 17岁驾驶员按乘客构成(无乘客、一名青少年、≥两名青少年、青少年与20 - 34岁成年人、仅20 - 34岁成年人、≥一名35 - 64岁成年人)划分的死亡发生率比。模型针对与驾驶员、撞车事故和环境因素相关的混杂因素和效应修正进行了调整。
搭载≥2名青少年乘客的涉撞青少年驾驶员死亡可能性是独自驾车青少年的两倍。与独自驾车的青少年相比,搭载青少年和年轻成年乘客混合群体的驾驶员死亡可能性高出七倍。在有35 - 64岁成年乘客在场时,青少年驾驶员的死亡风险最低。搭载一名青少年乘客时,男性青少年驾驶员的死亡风险比独自驾车时更高,但女性并非如此。
青少年驾驶员发生撞车事故时,如果搭载青少年和/或年轻成年乘客,比独自驾车或与成熟成年人一起驾车时更有可能死亡。这些结果支持了当前限制年轻新手驾驶员搭载青少年乘客的分级驾照政策。结果也有助于阐明为何先前的研究发现年轻乘客与致命撞车事故风险增加有关,但与非致命撞车事故无关:似乎乘客可能对撞车事故的严重程度有影响。