Partners In Health, P.O. Box 56, Neno, Malawi.
Partners In Health, Monrovia, Liberia.
Bull World Health Organ. 2022 Feb 1;100(2):115-126C. doi: 10.2471/BLT.21.286774. Epub 2021 Nov 17.
To examine changes in vaccination of children younger than 1 year during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic (March 2020-August 2021) in Haiti, Lesotho, Liberia and Malawi.
We used data from health management information systems on vaccination of children aged 12 months or younger in districts supported by Partners In Health. We used data from January 2016 to February 2020 and a linear model with negative binomial distribution to estimate the expected immunization counts for March 2020-August 2021 with 95% prediction intervals, assuming no pandemic. We compared these expected levels with observed values and estimated the immunization deficits or excesses during the pandemic months.
Baseline vaccination counts varied substantially by country, with Lesotho having the lowest count and Haiti the highest. We observed declines in vaccination administration early in the COVID-19 pandemic in Haiti, Lesotho and Liberia. Continued declines largely corresponded to high rates of COVID-19 infection and discrete stock-outs. By August 2021, vaccination levels had returned to close to or above expected levels in Haiti, Liberia and Lesotho; in Malawi levels remained below expected.
Patterns of childhood immunization coverage varied by country over the course of the pandemic, with significantly lower than expected vaccination levels seen in one country during subsequent COVID-19 waves. Governments and health-care stakeholders should monitor vaccine coverage closely and consider interventions, such as community outreach, to avoid or combat the disruptions in childhood vaccination.
在 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行期间(2020 年 3 月至 2021 年 8 月),调查海地、莱索托、利比里亚和马拉维 1 岁以下儿童的疫苗接种变化情况。
我们使用了由“健康伙伴关系”支持的地区卫生管理信息系统中关于 12 个月或以下儿童接种疫苗的数据。我们使用了 2016 年 1 月至 2020 年 2 月的数据,并采用具有负二项分布的线性模型来估计 2020 年 3 月至 2021 年 8 月的预期免疫接种次数,并使用 95%预测区间,假设没有大流行。我们将这些预期水平与实际观察值进行了比较,并估计了大流行期间的免疫接种不足或过量情况。
各国的基线免疫接种计数差异很大,莱索托的计数最低,海地的计数最高。我们观察到海地、莱索托和利比里亚在 COVID-19 大流行初期疫苗接种数量下降。持续下降主要与 COVID-19 感染率高和药品短缺有关。到 2021 年 8 月,海地、利比里亚和莱索托的疫苗接种水平已接近或高于预期水平;而马拉维的水平仍低于预期。
在大流行期间,各国的儿童免疫覆盖模式各不相同,在随后的 COVID-19 浪潮中,一个国家的疫苗接种水平明显低于预期。各国政府和卫生保健利益攸关方应密切监测疫苗接种覆盖率,并考虑采取社区外展等干预措施,以避免或应对儿童疫苗接种的中断。