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塑造民主与腐败关系的微观动态

The microdynamics shaping the relationship between democracy and corruption.

作者信息

Podobnik Boris, Jusup Marko, Korošak Dean, Holme Petter, Lipić Tomislav

机构信息

Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Rijeka, 51000 Rijeka, Croatia.

Faculty of Information Studies in Novo Mesto, 8000 Novo Mesto, Slovenia.

出版信息

Proc Math Phys Eng Sci. 2022 Jan;478(2257):20210567. doi: 10.1098/rspa.2021.0567. Epub 2022 Jan 12.

Abstract

Physics has a long tradition of laying rigorous quantitative foundations for social phenomena. Here, we up the ante for physics' forays into the territory of social sciences by (i) empirically documenting a tipping point in the relationship between democratic norms and corruption suppression, and then (ii) demonstrating how such a tipping point emerges from a micro-scale mechanistic model of spin dynamics in a complex network. Specifically, the tipping point in the relationship between democratic norms and corruption suppression is such that democratization has little effect on suppressing corruption below a critical threshold, but a large effect above the threshold. The micro-scale model of spin dynamics underpins this phenomenon by reinterpreting spins in terms of unbiased (i.e. altruistic) and biased (i.e. parochial) other-regarding behaviour, as well as the corresponding voting preferences. Under weak democratic norms, dense social connections of parochialists enable coercing enough opportunist voters to vote in favour of perpetuating parochial in-group bias. Society may, however, strengthen democratic norms in a rapid turn of events during which opportunists adopt altruism and vote to subdue bias. The emerging model outcome at the societal scale thus mirrors the data, implying that democracy either perpetuates or suppresses corruption depending on the prevailing democratic norms.

摘要

物理学长期以来一直有着为社会现象奠定严谨定量基础的传统。在此,我们通过以下方式提高了物理学涉足社会科学领域的标准:一是通过实证记录民主规范与腐败抑制之间关系的一个临界点;二是展示这样一个临界点如何从复杂网络中自旋动力学的微观机制模型中出现。具体而言,民主规范与腐败抑制之间关系的临界点在于,在临界阈值以下,民主化对抑制腐败几乎没有影响,但在阈值以上则有很大影响。自旋动力学的微观模型通过将自旋重新解释为无偏见(即利他)和有偏见(即狭隘)的他人导向行为以及相应的投票偏好,来支撑这一现象。在民主规范薄弱的情况下,狭隘主义者的紧密社会联系能够迫使足够多的机会主义选民投票支持延续狭隘的群体内偏见。然而,在事件迅速转变的过程中,社会可能会加强民主规范,在此期间机会主义者会采取利他主义并投票抑制偏见。因此,在社会层面出现的模型结果反映了数据,这意味着民主是延续还是抑制腐败取决于盛行的民主规范。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7a73/8753146/bb4776f98c46/rspa20210567f01.jpg

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