Department of Political Science, University of Management and Technology, Lahore 54770, Pakistan.
Remote Sensing, GIS and Climatic Research Lab (National Center of GIS and Space Applications), Centre for Remote Sensing, University of the Punjab, Lahore 54590, Pakistan.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Jan 27;19(3):1449. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19031449.
Globalization as well as the ratio of ageing people in the group of 11 (G-11) countries has seen a rapid increase in recent years. Therefore, this study aims to provide effective policy recommendations for sustainable development goals 13, 8, and 7, for the G-11 countries. This work estimates the impact of natural resources and the ageing population on the emission of carbon dioxide (CO) in G-11 countries using panel data from 1990-2020. For empirical results, second-generation methods were applied. The Westerlund co-integration test that assesses co-integration confirms the firm association among the parameters, and the values of coefficient of the cross-sectional autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) approach show that a 1% increase in the ageing population will lower the emissions of CO by 13.41% among G-11 countries. Moreover, the findings show that there exists an environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) among natural resources, globalization, economic growth, ageing people, and the emission of CO. Based on the findings, this work presents some important policy implications for achieving sustainable growth in the G-11 countries. These countries need to lower the amount of energy obtained from fossil fuels to improve air quality.
近年来,全球化以及 11 国集团(G-11)中老年人的比例迅速增加。因此,本研究旨在为 G-11 国家的可持续发展目标 13、8 和 7 提供有效的政策建议。本工作使用 1990-2020 年的面板数据,估计自然资源和人口老龄化对 G-11 国家二氧化碳(CO)排放的影响。对于实证结果,应用了第二代方法。评估协整的 Westerlund 协整检验证实了参数之间的牢固联系,并且横截面自回归分布滞后(CS-ARDL)方法的系数值表明,在 G-11 国家,人口老龄化率每增加 1%,CO 的排放量将降低 13.41%。此外,研究结果表明,自然资源、全球化、经济增长、人口老龄化和 CO 排放之间存在环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)。基于这些发现,本工作为实现 G-11 国家的可持续增长提出了一些重要的政策含义。这些国家需要减少从化石燃料中获取的能源量,以改善空气质量。