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通过可再生能源和自然资源推动环境可持续性:动态 ARDL 模拟方法。

Powering environmental sustainability through renewable energy and natural resources: a Dynamic ARDL simulation approach.

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, Xinjiang University, Urumqi, 830046, China.

Unit of Research 3E, Higher Institute of Management of Gabes (I.S.G.), University of Gabes, Gabes, Tunisia.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Aug;30(39):90906-90923. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-28643-1. Epub 2023 Jul 19.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-023-28643-1
PMID:37468773
Abstract

The objective of this study is to examine the role of renewable energy consumption and natural resource rents along with control variables of globalization and economic growth on the environmental sustainability of Jordanian economy from 1985 to 2019. These variables have been selected based on theory and empirical literature. We apply a Dynamic Autoregressive Distributed Lag (D-ARDL) technique along with robustness checks of Fully modified OLS (FMOLS), Dynamic OLS (DOLS), and Canonical Cointegrating Regression (CCR) techniques in order to achieve the above goal. The result from the analysis confirms that the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) is not valid for the Jordan in either long or short term. Our estimation results also confirm the highly significant and negative impact of renewable energy on CO emissions in both the long and short term. However, both natural resource rents and globalization are significant and positive in the long run, implying that these variables are detrimental to the environmental quality. The interaction analysis presents detrimental effect of globalization in terms of renewable energy while it shows beneficial effect of globalization in terms of natural resource for environmental quality. The frequency domain causality result shows causality at different frequencies across the variables. Based on the results, several policy directions are provided in order to achieve environmental sustainability in Jordan.

摘要

本研究旨在考察 1985 年至 2019 年期间,可再生能源消费和自然资源租金以及全球化和经济增长等控制变量在约旦经济环境可持续性方面的作用。这些变量是根据理论和经验文献选择的。我们应用动态自回归分布滞后 (D-ARDL) 技术,并通过完全修正的最小二乘法 (FMOLS)、动态最小二乘法 (DOLS) 和正则协整回归 (CCR) 技术进行稳健性检查,以实现上述目标。分析结果证实,无论是长期还是短期,环境库兹涅茨曲线 (EKC) 在约旦都不成立。我们的估计结果还证实,可再生能源在长期和短期对 CO 排放都具有高度显著的负向影响。然而,自然资源租金和全球化在长期内都是显著正向的,这意味着这些变量对环境质量有害。交互分析表明,全球化在可再生能源方面具有不利影响,而在自然资源方面对环境质量具有有利影响。频域因果关系结果表明,各变量在不同频率上存在因果关系。基于这些结果,提出了一些政策方向,以实现约旦的环境可持续性。

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