Academy of Development, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, 430072, China.
Law and Business School, Wuhan Institute of Technology, Wuhan, 430205, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Jul;29(31):47225-47232. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-19096-z. Epub 2022 Feb 18.
CO emission reduction is a long-term strategy for China to promote its government and economic size. However, this study examines the asymmetric impact of government size and economic size on CO emissions in China. The study embraces the nonlinear ARDL framework of time series data analysis as proposed by Shin et al. (2014), which disentangles the positive and negative shocks to government size and economic size. We find that the response of CO emissions to government size and economic size positive shocks differs from the negative shocks. Empirical outcomes revealed that a positive shock of government size exerts an insignificant positive on CO emissions, while a negative shock of government size reduces CO emissions. More specifically, a positive shock of economic size mitigates the CO emissions of China in long run. Policymakers should redesign the energy and environment policies in the framework of government size and economy size.
CO 减排是中国推动政府和经济规模的长期战略。然而，本研究考察了政府规模和经济规模对中国 CO 排放的不对称影响。该研究采用 Shin 等人（2014 年）提出的时间序列数据分析的非线性 ARDL 框架，将政府规模和经济规模的正冲击和负冲击分开。我们发现，CO 排放对政府规模和经济规模正冲击的反应与负冲击不同。实证结果表明，政府规模的正冲击对 CO 排放产生了微不足道的正向影响，而政府规模的负冲击则减少了 CO 排放。更具体地说，经济规模的正冲击在长期内减轻了中国的 CO 排放。政策制定者应该在政府规模和经济规模的框架内重新设计能源和环境政策。
