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马拉维的安全网对家庭应对 COVID-19 大流行的应对机制的影响。

Impact of Safety Nets on Household Coping Mechanisms for COVID-19 Pandemic in Malawi.

机构信息

Economics Department, University of Malawi, Zomba, Malawi.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2022 Feb 7;9:806738. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.806738. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Covid-19 pandemic induced various shocks to households in Malawi, many of which were failing to cope. Household coping mechanisms to shocks have an implication on household poverty status and that of a nation as a whole. In order to assist households to respond to the pandemic-induced shocks positively, the government of Malawi, with support from non-governmental organizations introduced Covid-19 Urban Cash Intervention (CUCI) and other safety nets to complement the existing social protection programs in cushioning the impact of the shocks during the pandemic. With these programmes in place, there is a need for evidence regarding how the safety nets are affecting coping. Therefore, this paper investigated the impact that safety nets during Covid-19 pandemic had on the following household coping mechanisms: engaging in additional income-generating activities, receiving assistance from friends and family; reducing food consumption; relying on savings; and failure to cope.

METHODS

The study used a nationally representative panel data from the Malawi High Frequency Phone Survey on Covid-19 (HFPS Covid-19) and complemented it with the fifth Integrated Household Panel Survey (IHPS), also known as living standards measurement survey. Five Random Effects Probit Models were estimated, one for each coping mechanism.

RESULTS

Findings from this study indicated that beneficiaries of safety net programs were more likely to rely on remittances from friends and family than the people who had no safety nets. Furthermore, the safety net recipients were less likely to reduce food consumption or rely on savings than the non-recipients. Despite the interesting findings, we also noticed that safety nets had no significant impact on household engagement in other income-generating activities in response to shocks.

CONCLUSION

The results imply that safety nets in Malawi during the Covid-19 pandemic had a positive impact on consumption and prevented the dissolving of savings. Therefore, these programs have to be scaled up, and the volumes be revised upwards.

摘要

背景

新冠疫情给马拉维的家庭带来了各种冲击,许多家庭都难以应对。家庭应对冲击的机制对家庭贫困状况和整个国家都有影响。为了帮助家庭积极应对大流行带来的冲击,马拉维政府在非政府组织的支持下,推出了新冠城市现金干预(CUCI)和其他安全网,以补充现有的社会保护计划,缓解大流行期间的冲击。有了这些计划,就需要有证据表明安全网是如何影响应对的。因此,本文调查了新冠疫情期间安全网对以下家庭应对机制的影响:开展额外的创收活动、接受朋友和家人的援助、减少食物消费、依赖储蓄和无法应对。

方法

本研究使用了来自马拉维新冠高频电话调查(HFPS Covid-19)的全国代表性面板数据,并辅以第五次综合家庭调查(IHPS),也称为生活水平衡量调查。估计了五个随机效应概率单位模型,每个模型对应一种应对机制。

结果

本研究的结果表明,安全网计划的受益者比没有安全网的人更有可能依赖朋友和家人的汇款。此外,安全网的接受者比非接受者更不可能减少食物消费或依赖储蓄。尽管有有趣的发现,但我们也注意到,安全网对家庭在应对冲击时从事其他创收活动没有显著影响。

结论

这些结果表明,新冠疫情期间马拉维的安全网对消费产生了积极影响,并防止了储蓄的减少。因此,这些计划必须扩大规模,并向上修订规模。

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