Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Arizona, Tucson AZ, USA.
Development Data Group, World Bank, Washington, DC, USA.
Nat Hum Behav. 2021 May;5(5):557-565. doi: 10.1038/s41562-021-01096-7. Epub 2021 Mar 30.
The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 and attempts to limit its spread have resulted in a contraction of the global economy. Here we document the socioeconomic impacts of the pandemic among households, adults and children in low-income countries. To do so, we rely on longitudinal household survey data from Ethiopia, Malawi, Nigeria and Uganda, originating from pre-COVID-19 face-to-face household surveys plus phone surveys implemented during the pandemic. We estimate that 256 million individuals-77% of the population-live in households that have lost income during the pandemic. Attempts to cope with this loss are exacerbated by food insecurity and an inability to access medicine and staple foods. Finally, we find that student-teacher contact has dropped from a pre-COVID-19 rate of 96% to just 17% among households with school-aged children. These findings can inform decisions by governments and international organizations on measures to mitigate the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
SARS-CoV-2 的出现及其传播的遏制导致了全球经济的收缩。在这里,我们记录了低收入国家家庭、成年人和儿童在大流行期间受到的社会经济影响。为此,我们依赖于来自埃塞俄比亚、马拉维、尼日利亚和乌干达的纵向家庭调查数据,这些数据来源于 COVID-19 之前的面对面家庭调查以及大流行期间进行的电话调查。我们估计,有 2.56 亿人——占总人口的 77%——生活在大流行期间失去收入的家庭中。人们试图应对这种损失,但却加剧了粮食不安全以及无法获得药品和主食的情况。最后,我们发现,有学龄儿童的家庭中,师生接触率已从 COVID-19 之前的 96%降至 17%。这些发现可以为各国政府和国际组织提供决策依据,以减轻 COVID-19 大流行的影响。