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基于 SEER 数据库的胃癌骨转移相关危险因素和预后因素分析。

Analysis of Related Risk Factors and Prognostic Factors of Gastric Cancer with Bone Metastasis: A SEER-Based Study.

机构信息

Department of General Surgery, 900th Hospital of Joint Logistics Support Force, Fuzhou 350001, China.

Graduate School, Qinghai University, Xining 810001, China.

出版信息

J Immunol Res. 2022 Feb 15;2022:3251051. doi: 10.1155/2022/3251051. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Gastric cancer is among the most common malignant tumors at home and abroad, because its early symptoms are mostly insidious, which leads to distant metastasis when gastric cancer is first diagnosed. The common metastatic sites of gastric cancer are mainly the liver, lung, and peritoneum, but bone metastasis is relatively rare, and the prognosis of gastric cancer bone metastasis is very poor. Therefore, this study is built on the SEER database to analyze the related risk factors of gastric cancer bone metastasis and related factors affecting the prognosis of gastric cancer patients, aiming at improving clinicians' understanding of clinical diagnosis and prognosis of bone metastasis of gastric cancer, thus reducing misdiagnosis and missed diagnosis.

METHODS

The SEER database was collected to screen out patients with gastric cancer bone metastases and nonbone metastases matched with them from 2010 to 2016, and the Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw survival curves, and the comparison between survival curves was performed by Log-rank test to analyze the overall survival of the two groups of patient's time. Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the related risk factors of gastric cancer bone metastasis, and the Cox regression proportional hazard model was used to analyze the relationship between gastric cancer bone metastasis and patient prognosis.

RESULTS

Using Kaplan-Meier survival curve to analyze the 1, 3, and 5-year survival rates of gastric cancer patients with bone metastasis and non-metastasis groups were 14.2%, 1.8%, 0.6% and 71.4%, 44.3%, 36.4%, respectively; the average survival rate of the metastatic group was The time was 4.0 months (95%CI: 3.4754.525), and the average survival time of the non-metastatic group was 30.0 months (95%CI: 26.77833.222). The difference between the two groups was statistically significant ( = 1076.866, < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that race ( = 0.007, OR = 1.296), grade ( < 0.001, OR = 0.575), marital status ( < 0.001, OR = 0.040), tumor size ( = 0.006, OR = 0.752), TNM stage ( < 0.001), T stage ( = 0.023, OR = 0.882), and M stage ( < 0.001, OR = 44.958) are independent risk factors for gastric cancer bone metastasis. The Cox univariate analysis suggests that gastric cancer bone metastasis is a risk factor for the prognosis of gastric cancer patients. The Cox multivariate analysis validates that gastric cancer bone metastasis (HR = 0.584, 95% CI: 0.497~0.688, < 0.001) is independent of the overall survival rate of gastric cancer patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Race, grade, marital status, tumor size, TNM stage, T stage, and M stage are independent risk factors for gastric cancer bone metastasis; and gastric cancer bone metastasis is an independent risk factor that affects the prognosis of gastric cancer patients. Therefore, for such high-risk groups, large range screening of the above indicators can effectively improve the prognosis of gastric cancer patients to a certain extent.

摘要

背景

胃癌是国内外最常见的恶性肿瘤之一,由于其早期症状多为隐匿性,导致胃癌首次诊断时已发生远处转移。胃癌的常见转移部位主要为肝、肺和腹膜,但骨转移相对少见,胃癌骨转移的预后非常差。因此,本研究基于 SEER 数据库,分析胃癌骨转移的相关危险因素和影响胃癌患者预后的相关因素,旨在提高临床医生对胃癌骨转移的临床诊断和预后的认识,从而减少误诊和漏诊。

方法

从 2010 年至 2016 年,从 SEER 数据库中筛选出胃癌骨转移患者和与其相匹配的非骨转移患者,并使用 Kaplan-Meier 方法绘制生存曲线,通过 Log-rank 检验比较两组患者的生存时间。采用 logistic 回归分析胃癌骨转移的相关危险因素,采用 Cox 比例风险回归模型分析胃癌骨转移与患者预后的关系。

结果

采用 Kaplan-Meier 生存曲线分析胃癌骨转移组和非转移组患者的 1、3、5 年生存率分别为 14.2%、1.8%、0.6%和 71.4%、44.3%、36.4%;转移组的平均生存时间为 4.0 个月(95%CI:3.4754.525),非转移组的平均生存时间为 30.0 个月(95%CI:26.77833.222)。两组间差异有统计学意义( = 1076.866, < 0.001)。多因素 logistic 回归分析显示,种族( = 0.007,OR = 1.296)、分级( < 0.001,OR = 0.575)、婚姻状况( < 0.001,OR = 0.040)、肿瘤大小( = 0.006,OR = 0.752)、TNM 分期( < 0.001)、T 分期( = 0.023,OR = 0.882)和 M 分期( < 0.001,OR = 44.958)是胃癌骨转移的独立危险因素。Cox 单因素分析提示胃癌骨转移是影响胃癌患者预后的危险因素。Cox 多因素分析验证了胃癌骨转移(HR = 0.584,95%CI:0.497~0.688, < 0.001)是影响胃癌患者总体生存率的独立因素。

结论

种族、分级、婚姻状况、肿瘤大小、TNM 分期、T 分期和 M 分期是胃癌骨转移的独立危险因素;胃癌骨转移是影响胃癌患者预后的独立危险因素。因此,对于此类高危人群,大范围筛查上述指标可在一定程度上有效改善胃癌患者的预后。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/19fd/8863473/ba3b0b40ac5e/JIR2022-3251051.001.jpg

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