Infectious Disease Hospital, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Pi Research Consultancy Center, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2022 Mar 1;16(3):e0010235. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0010235. eCollection 2022 Mar.
Tetanus, a vaccine-preventable disease, is still occurring in the elderly population of low- and middle-income countries with a high case-fatality rate. The objective of the study was to elucidate the factors associated with in-hospital mortality of tetanus in Bangladesh.
This prospective observational study, conducted in two specialized infectious disease hospitals, conveniently selected adult tetanus patients (≥18 years) for inclusion. Data were collected through a preformed structured questionnaire. Kaplan Meier survival analysis and univariate and multivariable Cox regression analysis were carried out to assess factors associated with in-hospital mortality among patients. All analysis was done using Stata (version 16) and SPSS (version 26).
A total of 61 tetanus cases were included, and the overall in-hospital mortality rate was 34.4% (n = 21). Patients had an average age of 46.49 ±15.65 years (SD), and the majority were male (96.7%), farmers (57.4%), and came from rural areas (93.4%). Survival analysis revealed that the probability of death was significantly higher among patients having an age of ≥ 40 years, incubation time of ≤12 days, onset time of ≤ 4 days, and having complication(s). However, on multivariable Cox regression analysis, age (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 4.03, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.07-15.17, p = 0.039) and onset time (≤4 days) (aHR 3.33; 95% CI 1.05-10.57, p = 0.041) came as significant predictors of in-hospital mortality after adjusting for incubation period and complications.
Older age and short onset time are the two most important determinants of in-hospital mortality of tetanus patients. Hence, these patients require enhanced emphasis and care.
破伤风是一种可通过疫苗预防的疾病,但在中低收入国家的老年人群中仍有发生,且病死率较高。本研究旨在阐明孟加拉国破伤风患者院内死亡的相关因素。
本前瞻性观察性研究在两家专门的传染病医院进行,方便纳入成年破伤风患者(≥18 岁)。通过预先制定的结构化问卷收集数据。采用 Kaplan-Meier 生存分析和单变量及多变量 Cox 回归分析评估患者院内死亡的相关因素。所有分析均使用 Stata(版本 16)和 SPSS(版本 26)进行。
共纳入 61 例破伤风病例,总体院内死亡率为 34.4%(n=21)。患者平均年龄为 46.49±15.65 岁(标准差),大多数为男性(96.7%)、农民(57.4%)且来自农村地区(93.4%)。生存分析显示,年龄≥40 岁、潜伏期≤12 天、发病时间≤4 天以及有并发症的患者死亡概率显著更高。然而,多变量 Cox 回归分析显示,年龄(调整后的危险比[aHR]4.03,95%置信区间[CI]1.07-15.17,p=0.039)和发病时间(≤4 天)(aHR3.33;95%CI1.05-10.57,p=0.041)是调整潜伏期和并发症后院内死亡的重要预测因素。
年龄较大和发病时间较短是破伤风患者院内死亡的两个最重要决定因素。因此,这些患者需要给予更多关注和护理。