Edinak E A, Sayapova A R, Shirov A A
Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia.
Stud Russ Econ Dev. 2022;33(1):1-10. doi: 10.1134/S1075700722010063. Epub 2022 Feb 25.
The article examines the relationship between the level of demand of income groups of the population and labor income. The influence of demand of various income groups of the population on production parameters has been investigated. As a calculation tool, input-output tables with an expanded total cost coefficient matrix by adding elements of wages and household consumption to it have been used. The conclusion has been substantiated that the growth of income and demand in low-income groups of the population has the greatest effect on production in the real sector, and in high-income groups of the population-on the products of the service sector. Large-scale sectors of the economy have been identified, the activities of which are most influenced by the demand of certain income groups, taking into account the induced effects that form in the economy. It has been noted that the growth in demand in low-income groups of the population is most reflected in the incomes of high-income groups of the population. It has been shown that even relatively modest structural shifts in the volume of wages by decile groups can lead to tangible structural and total changes in output. The analysis of the impact on production volumes of changes in the qualification structure of employment, reflecting smaller differences in the response of sectors of the economy to changes in demand of different qualification groups of workers than income groups, has been carried out.
本文研究了人口收入群体的需求水平与劳动收入之间的关系。考察了人口各收入群体的需求对生产参数的影响。作为一种计算工具，使用了通过在总成本系数矩阵中加入工资和家庭消费元素而扩展的投入产出表。得出的结论得到了证实，即低收入人口群体的收入和需求增长对实体经济部门的生产影响最大，而高收入人口群体的收入和需求增长对服务业产品的影响最大。考虑到经济中形成的诱导效应，确定了经济的大规模部门，其活动受某些收入群体需求的影响最大。值得注意的是，低收入人口群体需求的增长在高收入人口群体的收入中得到了最明显的体现。结果表明，即使十分位数组的工资水平发生相对适度的结构变化，也可能导致产出出现明显的结构和总量变化。还分析了就业资格结构变化对产量的影响，结果表明，与收入群体相比，经济各部门对不同资格组工人需求变化的反应差异较小。
