生态系统对热带气旋的抵抗力和恢复力之间普遍存在权衡模式。
A general pattern of trade-offs between ecosystem resistance and resilience to tropical cyclones.
作者信息
Patrick Christopher J, Kominoski John S, McDowell William H, Branoff Benjamin, Lagomasino David, Leon Miguel, Hensel Enie, Hensel Marc J S, Strickland Bradley A, Aide T Mitchell, Armitage Anna, Campos-Cerqueira Marconi, Congdon Victoria M, Crowl Todd A, Devlin Donna J, Douglas Sarah, Erisman Brad E, Feagin Rusty A, Geist Simon J, Hall Nathan S, Hardison Amber K, Heithaus Michael R, Hogan J Aaron, Hogan J Derek, Kinard Sean, Kiszka Jeremy J, Lin Teng-Chiu, Lu Kaijun, Madden Christopher J, Montagna Paul A, O'Connell Christine S, Proffitt C Edward, Kiel Reese Brandi, Reustle Joseph W, Robinson Kelly L, Rush Scott A, Santos Rolando O, Schnetzer Astrid, Smee Delbert L, Smith Rachel S, Starr Gregory, Stauffer Beth A, Walker Lily M, Weaver Carolyn A, Wetz Michael S, Whitman Elizabeth R, Wilson Sara S, Xue Jianhong, Zou Xiaoming
机构信息
Department of Biological Sciences, Virginia Institute of Marine Science, Gloucester Point, VA 23062, USA.
Institute of Environment, Department of Biological Sciences, Florida International University, Miami, FL 33199, USA.
出版信息
Sci Adv. 2022 Mar 4;8(9):eabl9155. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.abl9155. Epub 2022 Mar 2.
Tropical cyclones drive coastal ecosystem dynamics, and their frequency, intensity, and spatial distribution are predicted to shift with climate change. Patterns of resistance and resilience were synthesized for 4138 ecosystem time series from = 26 storms occurring between 1985 and 2018 in the Northern Hemisphere to predict how coastal ecosystems will respond to future disturbance regimes. Data were grouped by ecosystems (fresh water, salt water, terrestrial, and wetland) and response categories (biogeochemistry, hydrography, mobile biota, sedentary fauna, and vascular plants). We observed a repeated pattern of trade-offs between resistance and resilience across analyses. These patterns are likely the outcomes of evolutionary adaptation, they conform to disturbance theories, and they indicate that consistent rules may govern ecosystem susceptibility to tropical cyclones.
热带气旋驱动着沿海生态系统的动态变化，预计其频率、强度和空间分布会随着气候变化而改变。综合了1985年至2018年期间发生在北半球的26次风暴所产生的4138个生态系统时间序列的抗性和恢复力模式，以预测沿海生态系统将如何应对未来的干扰状况。数据按生态系统（淡水、咸水、陆地和湿地）和响应类别（生物地球化学、水文地理学、移动生物群、定居动物和维管植物）进行分组。在各项分析中，我们观察到抗性和恢复力之间反复出现权衡模式。这些模式可能是进化适应的结果，符合干扰理论，并且表明可能存在一致的规则来支配生态系统对热带气旋的易感性。
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