Chaku Natasha, Beltz Adriene M
Department of Psychology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States.
Department of Psychology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States.
Adv Child Dev Behav. 2022;62:159-190. doi: 10.1016/bs.acdb.2021.11.003. Epub 2021 Dec 28.
Averages dominate developmental science: There are representative groups, mean trajectories, and generalizations to typical children. Nearly all parents and teachers, however, eagerly proclaim that few youth are average; each child, adolescent, and young adult is unique. Indeed, individual youth are the focus of many eminent developmental theories, yet there is a shocking paucity of developmental methods-including study designs and analysis techniques-that truly afford individual-level inferences. Thus, the goal of this chapter is to explicate the advantages of an idiographic approach to developmental science, that is, an approach that provides insight into individual youth, often by studying within-person variation in intensive longitudinal data, such as densely coded observations, repeated daily or momentary assessments, and functional neuroimages. In three domains across development, the chapter illustrates the benefits of an idiographic approach by comparing empirical conclusions offered by traditional mean-based analysis techniques versus techniques that leverage the temporal and individualized nature of intensive longitudinal data. The chapter then concentrates on group iterative multiple model estimation (GIMME), which is an analysis technique that uses intensive longitudinal data to create youth-specific temporal networks, detailing how brain regions or behaviors are directionally related across time. The promise of GIMME is exemplified by applications to three different domains across development. The chapter closes by encouraging future idiographic developmental science to consider how research questions, study designs, and data analyses can be formed, implemented, and conducted in ways that optimize inferences about individual-not average-youth.
存在代表性群体、平均轨迹以及针对典型儿童的概括。然而,几乎所有家长和教师都急切地宣称,很少有年轻人是平均水平的;每个儿童、青少年和青年都是独一无二的。的确,个体青年是许多著名发展理论的核心,但令人震惊的是,真正能够进行个体层面推断的发展方法(包括研究设计和分析技术)却极为匮乏。因此,本章的目标是阐明发展科学中个案法的优势,即一种通常通过研究密集纵向数据中的个体内部差异(如密集编码观察、每日或瞬间重复评估以及功能性神经影像)来深入了解个体青年的方法。在发展的三个领域中,本章通过比较传统基于平均数的分析技术与利用密集纵向数据的时间性和个体性的技术所提供的实证结论,来说明个案法的益处。然后,本章重点介绍群体迭代多重模型估计(GIMME),这是一种利用密集纵向数据创建针对青年个体的时间网络的分析技术,详细说明了大脑区域或行为如何随时间定向相关。GIMME的前景通过应用于发展的三个不同领域得以体现。本章最后鼓励未来的个案发展科学考虑如何以优化对个体(而非平均水平)青年的推断的方式来形成、实施和开展研究问题、研究设计及数据分析。