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中国和印度成年人中家庭空气污染所致中风及亚型死亡率的时间趋势:基于2019年全球疾病负担研究的年龄-时期-队列分析

Time Trends in Stroke and Subtypes Mortality Attributable to Household Air Pollution in Chinese and Indian Adults: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis Using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

作者信息

Ma Yudiyang, Yang Donghui, Bai Jianjun, Zhao Yudi, Hu Qian, Yu Chuanhua

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.

Department of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.

出版信息

Front Aging Neurosci. 2022 Feb 18;14:740549. doi: 10.3389/fnagi.2022.740549. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

Household air pollution (HAP) exposure is recognized as a major health concern in areas relied on residential burning of solid fuels for cooking and heating. However, previous study has focused on mortality across time and reported changes in age-specific mortality globally but failed to distinguish cohort from period effects. Therefore, this study aimed to differentiate the relative contributions of period and cohort effects to overall time trends of HAP-attributable stroke mortality between the most presentative East and South Asia countries. Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database. The age, period, and cohort effects were estimated using the age-period-cohort (APC) model. The overall age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) of stroke in China decreased by 39.8% compared with 35.8% in India, while stroke subtypes in both the sexes and countries showed consecutive significant declines from 1990 to 2019. The age-specific and cohort-specific HAP-attributable stroke mortality declined over time in China and India. By APC analysis, substantially increasing age effects were presented for stroke and subtypes from 25 to 84 years. China had a rapid reduction in the independent period and cohort effects. Also, the risk of death for subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) had the most striking decline for both sexes in period and cohort effects. Reductions of India were less favorable than China, but the independent period and cohort effects progressively decreased during the entire period for both the sexes. Males experienced a slightly higher mortality risk than females in both countries. Although prominent reductions were observed in HAP-attributable stroke and subtypes mortality during the past 30 years, China and India still suffered uneven HAP-attributable stroke burden. Thus, it is of high significance to introduce advanced solid fuels replace technology and knowledge regarding clean fuel use.

摘要

在依赖固体燃料用于烹饪和取暖的地区,家庭空气污染(HAP)暴露被认为是一个主要的健康问题。然而,以往的研究集中在不同时期的死亡率,并报告了全球特定年龄死亡率的变化,但未能区分队列效应和时期效应。因此,本研究旨在区分时期效应和队列效应在最具代表性的东亚和南亚国家中对HAP归因中风死亡率总体时间趋势的相对贡献。数据来自全球疾病负担(GBD)数据库。使用年龄-时期-队列(APC)模型估计年龄、时期和队列效应。中国中风的总体年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)下降了39.8%,而印度为35.8%,同时从1990年到2019年,两个国家的男女中风亚型均呈现连续显著下降。中国和印度特定年龄和特定队列的HAP归因中风死亡率随时间下降。通过APC分析显示,25至84岁的中风及其亚型的年龄效应大幅增加。中国在独立的时期和队列效应方面有快速下降。此外,蛛网膜下腔出血(SAH)的死亡风险在时期和队列效应中男女下降最为显著。印度的下降情况不如中国,但在整个时期内,男女的独立时期和队列效应都逐渐下降。在两个国家中,男性的死亡风险略高于女性。尽管在过去30年中,HAP归因中风及其亚型的死亡率显著下降,但中国和印度仍面临不均衡的HAP归因中风负担。因此,引入先进的固体燃料替代技术和清洁燃料使用知识具有重要意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/624d/8895296/20b3ee1b4843/fnagi-14-740549-g001.jpg

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