Division of Cardiology, "AOU Città della Salute e della Scienza di Torino" Hospital, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, 10126 Turin, Italy.
Medicina (Kaunas). 2022 Mar 1;58(3):361. doi: 10.3390/medicina58030361.
: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and dementia are growing causes of morbidity and mortality, representing relevant medical and socioeconomic burdens. In this study, based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Injuries and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019, we focused on AF and dementia distribution and investigated the potential correlation between the two epidemiological trends. : Crude and age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality rate, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) lost, derived from GBD 2019, were reported for AF and dementia. Global features were also stratified by high and low sociodemographic-index (SDI) countries. Granger test analysis was performed to investigate the correlation between AF and dementia incidence time trends. : From 1990 to 2019 crude worldwide incidence and prevalence showed a dramatic increase for both conditions (from 43.24 to 61.01 and from 528.72 to 771.51 per 100,000 individuals for AF, respectively; from 54.60 to 93.52 and from 369.88 to 667.2 per 100,000 individuals for dementia, respectively). In the same timeframe, crude mortality rate doubled for AF and dementia (from 2.19 to 4.08, and from 10.49 to 20.98 per 100,000 individuals, respectively). Age-standardized estimate showed a substantial stability over the years, highlighting the key role of the progressively aging population. Crude estimates of all of the investigated metrics are greater in high SDI countries for both conditions. This association was still valid for age-standardized metrics, albeit by a reduced magnitude, suggesting the presence of higher risk factor burden in these countries. Finally, according to Granger test, we found a significant association between the historical trends of AF and dementia incidence ( = 0.004). : AF and dementia burden progressively increased in the last three decades. Given the potential association between these two conditions, further clinical data assessing this relationship is needed.
心房颤动(AF)和痴呆症是发病率和死亡率不断上升的原因,给医疗和社会经济带来了重大负担。在这项研究中,我们基于 2019 年全球疾病、伤害和危险因素研究(GBD)的数据,重点关注 AF 和痴呆症的分布,并研究了这两种流行病学趋势之间的潜在相关性。
使用 GBD 2019 提供的粗发病率、标准化发病率、患病率、死亡率和残疾调整生命年(DALY)缺失率,报告了 AF 和痴呆症的数据。还根据高和低社会人口指数(SDI)国家对全球特征进行了分层。使用格兰杰因果检验分析来研究 AF 和痴呆症发病率时间趋势之间的相关性。
从 1990 年到 2019 年,全球粗发病率和粗患病率均显著增加(AF 分别从 43.24 增加到 61.01,从 528.72 增加到 771.51/100000 人;痴呆症分别从 54.60 增加到 93.52,从 369.88 增加到 667.2/100000 人)。在同一时期,AF 和痴呆症的粗死亡率也增加了一倍(分别从 2.19 增加到 4.08,从 10.49 增加到 20.98/100000 人)。标准化估计数多年来保持稳定,突出了人口老龄化的关键作用。高 SDI 国家的所有调查指标的粗估计值均高于低 SDI 国家。尽管这种关联的程度有所降低,但对于标准化指标来说仍然有效,这表明这些国家存在更高的危险因素负担。最后,根据格兰杰因果检验,我们发现 AF 和痴呆症发病率的历史趋势之间存在显著关联( = 0.004)。
AF 和痴呆症的负担在过去三十年中逐渐增加。鉴于这两种疾病之间存在潜在的关联,需要进一步的临床数据来评估这种关系。