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荷兰关注的严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)变异株的区域输入及国内不对称传播。

Regional importation and asymmetric within-country spread of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern in the Netherlands.

作者信息

Han Alvin X, Kozanli Eva, Koopsen Jelle, Vennema Harry, Hajji Karim, Kroneman Annelies, van Walle Ivo, Klinkenberg Don, Wallinga Jacco, Russell Colin A, Eggink Dirk, Reusken Chantal B E M

机构信息

Department of Medical Microbiology & Infection Prevention, Amsterdam University Medical Center, Netherlands.

Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, Netherlands.

出版信息

medRxiv. 2022 Mar 22:2022.03.21.22272611. doi: 10.1101/2022.03.21.22272611.

DOI:10.1101/2022.03.21.22272611
PMID:35350194
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8963694/
Abstract

Variants of concern (VOCs) of SARS-CoV-2 have caused resurging waves of infections worldwide. In the Netherlands, Alpha, Beta, Gamma and Delta variants circulated widely between September 2020 and August 2021. To understand how various control measures had impacted the spread of these VOCs, we analyzed 39,844 SARS-CoV-2 genomes collected under the Dutch national surveillance program. We found that all four VOCs were introduced before targeted flight restrictions were imposed on countries where the VOCs first emerged. Importantly, foreign introductions, predominantly from other European countries, continued during these restrictions. Our findings show that flight restrictions had limited effectiveness in deterring VOC introductions due to the strength of regional land travel importation risks. We also found that the Alpha and Delta variants largely circulated more populous regions with international connections after their respective introduction before asymmetric bidirectional transmissions occurred with the rest of the country and the variant dominated infections in the Netherlands. As countries consider scaling down SARS-CoV-2 surveillance efforts in the post-crisis phase of the pandemic, our results highlight that robust surveillance in regions of early spread is important for providing timely information for variant detection and outbreak control.

摘要

严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)的关注变异株(VOCs)在全球引发了一波又一波的感染浪潮。在荷兰,2020年9月至2021年8月期间,阿尔法、贝塔、伽马和德尔塔变异株广泛传播。为了解各种防控措施如何影响这些VOCs的传播,我们分析了在荷兰国家监测计划下收集的39844个SARS-CoV-2基因组。我们发现,所有四种VOCs都是在对其首次出现的国家实施针对性航班限制之前传入的。重要的是,在这些限制措施实施期间,主要来自其他欧洲国家的境外输入仍在继续。我们的研究结果表明,由于区域陆路旅行输入风险较大,航班限制在阻止VOCs传入方面效果有限。我们还发现,阿尔法和德尔塔变异株在各自传入后,主要在与国际有联系的人口较多的地区传播,然后才与该国其他地区发生不对称的双向传播,且该变异株在荷兰的感染中占主导地位。随着各国在疫情后阶段考虑缩减SARS-CoV-2监测工作,我们的研究结果凸显了在早期传播地区进行强有力的监测对于及时提供变异株检测和疫情防控信息的重要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/571c/8963694/fdf322514d31/nihpp-2022.03.21.22272611v1-f0004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/571c/8963694/c701e04b48dd/nihpp-2022.03.21.22272611v1-f0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/571c/8963694/45e80cf0881c/nihpp-2022.03.21.22272611v1-f0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/571c/8963694/296ce6698251/nihpp-2022.03.21.22272611v1-f0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/571c/8963694/fdf322514d31/nihpp-2022.03.21.22272611v1-f0004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/571c/8963694/c701e04b48dd/nihpp-2022.03.21.22272611v1-f0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/571c/8963694/45e80cf0881c/nihpp-2022.03.21.22272611v1-f0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/571c/8963694/296ce6698251/nihpp-2022.03.21.22272611v1-f0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/571c/8963694/fdf322514d31/nihpp-2022.03.21.22272611v1-f0004.jpg

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