Satumanatpan Nat, Tonpho Warinyupa, Thiraratananukulchai Nutchanon, Chaichanamongkol Pheerawat, Lekcharoen Pittawat, Thiankhaw Kitti
Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, 50200, Thailand.
Division of Neurology, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, 50200, Thailand.
Int J Gen Med. 2022 Mar 25;15:3363-3373. doi: 10.2147/IJGM.S362116. eCollection 2022.
Intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) has become a standard treatment for eligible ischemic stroke patients. However, functional outcomes after receiving IVT varied widely. Hence the primary goal of this study is to identify characteristics related to poor outcomes.
The study enrolled acute ischemic stroke patients aged 18 or older who received IVT within 4.5 hours after onset between January 2018 and December 2020. The data were retrospectively collected from medical records. The patients were classified as having an excellent (0-2) or poor (3-6) outcomes based on the 90-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS). Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to evaluate the results. The predictive model was determined and developed the score using regression coefficients. The prediction power was validated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.
The study included 138 eligible participants. Forty-eight patients had unfavorable functional outcomes. With multivariable logistic regression analysis, factors significantly associated with poor outcomes were age (adjusted odds ratio (AOR), 1.03; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.99-1.07; P = 0.05), diabetes (3.96; 1.61-9.37; P = 0.003), admission National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) (1.08; 1.01-1.15; P = 0.02) and initial Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography Score (ASPECTS) (0.56; 0.37-0.86; P = 0.009). The predictive model developed from the findings demonstrated good discrimination power (AuROC 0.803, 95% CI 0.728-0.877).
The current study found that older age, diabetes, atrial fibrillation, higher admission NIHSS, and lower ASPECTS on the initial NCCT brain were related to unfavorable functional outcomes following IVT and served as good predictors of patient functional outcomes.
静脉溶栓(IVT)已成为符合条件的缺血性脑卒中患者的标准治疗方法。然而,接受IVT后的功能结局差异很大。因此,本研究的主要目的是确定与不良结局相关的特征。
本研究纳入了2018年1月至2020年12月期间发病后4.5小时内接受IVT的18岁及以上急性缺血性脑卒中患者。数据从病历中回顾性收集。根据90天改良Rankin量表(mRS),将患者分为预后良好(0-2分)或预后不良(3-6分)。采用单变量和多变量逻辑回归分析来评估结果。使用回归系数确定预测模型并制定评分。使用受试者操作特征曲线分析下的面积来验证预测能力。
该研究纳入了138名符合条件的参与者。48例患者功能结局不佳。多变量逻辑回归分析显示,与不良结局显著相关的因素包括年龄(调整比值比[AOR],1.03;95%置信区间[CI],0.99-1.07;P=0.05)、糖尿病(3.96;1.61-9.37;P=0.003)、入院时美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)评分(1.08;1.01-1.15;P=0.02)以及初始艾伯塔卒中项目早期计算机断层扫描评分(ASPECTS)(0.56;0.37-0.86;P=0.009)。根据研究结果建立的预测模型显示出良好的区分能力(曲线下面积[AuROC]为0.803,95%CI为0.728-0.877)。
本研究发现,年龄较大、糖尿病、心房颤动、入院时NIHSS评分较高以及初始头颅非增强计算机断层扫描(NCCT)的ASPECTS评分较低与IVT后的不良功能结局相关,并且是患者功能结局的良好预测指标。