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Development and Validation of Novel Nomograms to Predict the Overall Survival and Cancer-Specific Survival of Cervical Cancer Patients With Lymph Node Metastasis.

作者信息

Yi Jianying, Liu Zhili, Wang Lu, Zhang Xingxin, Pi Lili, Zhou Chunlei, Mu Hong

机构信息

Department of Clinical Laboratory, Tianjin First Central Hospital, School of Medicine, Nankai University, Tianjin, China.

Department of Clinical Laboratory, The Third Central Hospital, Tianjin, China.

出版信息

Front Oncol. 2022 Mar 17;12:857375. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2022.857375. eCollection 2022.


DOI:10.3389/fonc.2022.857375
PMID:35372011
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8968041/
Abstract

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to establish and validate novel individualized nomograms for predicting the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in cervical cancer patients with lymph node metastasis. METHODS: A total of 2,956 cervical cancer patients diagnosed with lymph node metastasis (American Joint Committee on Cancer, AJCC N stage=N1) between 2000 and 2018 were included in this study. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were applied to identify independent prognostic predictors, and the nomograms were established to predict the OS and CSS. The concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were applied to estimate the precision and discriminability of the nomograms. Decision-curve analysis (DCA) was used to assess the clinical utility of the nomograms. RESULTS: Tumor size, log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS), radiotherapy, surgery, T stage, histology, and grade resulted as significant independent predictors both for OS and CSS. The C-index value of the prognostic nomogram for predicting OS was 0.788 (95% CI, 0.762-0.814) and 0.777 (95% CI, 0.758-0.796) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Meanwhile, the C-index value of the prognostic nomogram for predicting CSS was 0.792 (95% CI, 0.767-0.817) and 0.781 (95% CI, 0.764-0.798) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration curves for the nomograms revealed gratifying consistency between predictions and actual observations for both 3- and 5-year OS and CSS. The 3- and 5-year area under the curves (AUCs) for the nomogram of OS and CSS ranged from 0.781 to 0.828. Finally, the DCA curves emerged as robust positive net benefits across a wide scale of threshold probabilities. CONCLUSION: We have successfully constructed nomograms that could predict 3- and 5-year OS and CSS of cervical cancer patients with lymph node metastasis and may assist clinicians in decision-making and personalized treatment planning.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ab2/8968041/6f20734e2df3/fonc-12-857375-g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ab2/8968041/022a37a0f185/fonc-12-857375-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ab2/8968041/98991c663cff/fonc-12-857375-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ab2/8968041/74a94dfeba97/fonc-12-857375-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ab2/8968041/f7f80a163569/fonc-12-857375-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ab2/8968041/23d3c32a8c29/fonc-12-857375-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ab2/8968041/6f20734e2df3/fonc-12-857375-g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ab2/8968041/022a37a0f185/fonc-12-857375-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ab2/8968041/98991c663cff/fonc-12-857375-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ab2/8968041/74a94dfeba97/fonc-12-857375-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ab2/8968041/f7f80a163569/fonc-12-857375-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ab2/8968041/23d3c32a8c29/fonc-12-857375-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ab2/8968041/6f20734e2df3/fonc-12-857375-g006.jpg

相似文献

[1]
Development and Validation of Novel Nomograms to Predict the Overall Survival and Cancer-Specific Survival of Cervical Cancer Patients With Lymph Node Metastasis.

Front Oncol. 2022-3-17

[2]
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引用本文的文献

[1]
Characteristics of lactate metabolism phenotype in hepatocellular carcinoma.

Sci Rep. 2023-11-11

[2]
Establishment of prediction models to predict survival among patients with cervical cancer based on socioeconomic factors: a retrospective cohort study based on the SEER Database.

BMJ Open. 2023-10-12

[3]
Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting pelvic lymph node metastasis and prognosis in patients with cervical cancer.

Front Oncol. 2022-9-2

[4]
A nomogram for survival prediction in 275,812 U.S. patients with breast cancer: a population-based cohort study based on the SEER database.

Gland Surg. 2022-7

本文引用的文献

[1]
Value of the log odds of positive lymph nodes for prognostic assessment of colon mucinous adenocarcinoma: Analysis and external validation.

Cancer Med. 2021-12

[2]
Development and Validation of the Individualized Prognostic Nomograms in Patients With Right- and Left-Sided Colon Cancer.

Front Oncol. 2021-11-1

[3]
The annual recurrence risk model for tailored surveillance strategy in patients with cervical cancer.

Eur J Cancer. 2021-10-16

[4]
Cervical cancer prevention and control in women living with human immunodeficiency virus.

CA Cancer J Clin. 2021-11

[5]
A Nomogram-Based Risk Classification System Predicting the Overall Survival of Patients With Newly Diagnosed Stage IVB Cervix Uteri Carcinoma.

Front Med (Lausanne). 2021-7-15

[6]
Prognostic Model for Predicting Overall and Cancer-Specific Survival Among Patients With Cervical Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A SEER Based Study.

Front Oncol. 2021-7-14

[7]
Nomograms predicting the overall survival and cancer-specific survival of patients with stage IIIC1 cervical cancer.

BMC Cancer. 2021-4-23

[8]
Recurrence pattern and prognostic factors for survival in cervical cancer with lymph node metastasis.

J Obstet Gynaecol Res. 2021-6

[9]
Comparison of different lymph node staging systems in patients with node-positive cervical squamous cell carcinoma following radical surgery.

J Cancer. 2020-10-23

[10]
External Validation of a Multiparametric Magnetic Resonance Imaging-based Nomogram for the Prediction of Extracapsular Extension and Seminal Vesicle Invasion in Prostate Cancer Patients Undergoing Radical Prostatectomy.

Eur Urol. 2021-2

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