Ha Kyoo-Man
Department of Emergency Management, Inje University, 197 Inje-ro, Gimhae city, Gyeongnam 50834 Korea.
Appl Water Sci. 2022;12(5):93. doi: 10.1007/s13201-022-01636-0. Epub 2022 Apr 4.
This research aimed to provide a new decision pattern toward the ultimate goal of improving Asian disaster management. The "water flow decision pattern," which is likened to the natural flow of water, was proposed to facilitate smooth decision-making by decision makers. Text document analysis with emphasis on a qualitative technique was used as the major methodology. Five failure cases were analyzed: the sinking of the ferry Sewol in Korea, the drought in India, the SARS outbreak in China, the nuclear leakage in Fukushima, and the typhoon Haiyan in the Philippines. The key finding was that the water flow decision pattern comprehensively combines five decision factors, namely, weight, availability, timeliness, emplacement, and roundabout. Hence, Asian nations may consider its application as a theoretical frame in the future, after appropriate training and exercise are carried out.
本研究旨在为改善亚洲灾害管理这一最终目标提供一种新的决策模式。提出了类似于水的自然流动的“水流决策模式”，以促进决策者进行顺畅的决策。以定性技术为重点的文本文件分析被用作主要方法。分析了五个失败案例：韩国“岁月”号客轮沉没、印度旱灾、中国非典疫情、福岛核泄漏以及菲律宾台风“海燕”。关键发现是水流决策模式综合了五个决策因素，即权重、可用性、及时性、位置和迂回性。因此，在进行适当的培训和演练后，亚洲国家未来可能会考虑将其作为一种理论框架加以应用。
