Department of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, University of Health Science, Umraniye Training and Research Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey.
Department of General Practice and Primary Care, University of Health Science, Umraniye Training and Research Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey.
J Infect Dev Ctries. 2022 Mar 31;16(3):435-444. doi: 10.3855/jidc.15411.
Since the beginning of the pandemic, factors associated with mortality in patients with corona virus infection disease 2019 (COVID-19) have been investigated. Comorbidities and increased age have been frequently reported to be associated with mortality. We aimed to evaluate the factors associated with unfavorable outcome of patients with COVID-19 at an early period of the pandemic.
This single center, retrospective, observational study was conducted among laboratory confirmed COVID-19 patients hospitalized between March 11 and May 5, 2020, at Umraniye Training and Research Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey. The effects of the severity of illness, comorbidities, symptoms, and laboratory findings on the clinical outcome were evaluated. Factors associated with unfavorable outcome (necessity of mechanical ventilation or death) were examined using Cox proportional hazards models.
Out of a total of 728 patients, 53.8% were men and median age 54 years. The 30-day mortality rate was 4.9% among all hospitalized patients. A logistic regression model identified six predictors of unfavorable clinical outcome: age, severity of illness, the numbers of comorbidities, lymphopenia, high levels of C-reactive protein, and procalcitonin.
The mortality rate was lower among the patients with COVID-19, hospitalized during the early period of the pandemic. Older age, higher severity score on admission, the numbers of comorbidities, higher levels of C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, and lymphopenia were identified to be associated with unfavorable outcome of the hospitalized patients with COVID-19.
自疫情开始以来,人们一直在研究与 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)感染患者死亡相关的因素。合并症和年龄增长通常与死亡率相关。我们旨在评估 COVID-19 患者在疫情早期不良预后的相关因素。
本单中心、回顾性、观察性研究纳入了 2020 年 3 月 11 日至 5 月 5 日期间在土耳其伊斯坦布尔 Umraniye 培训和研究医院住院的实验室确诊 COVID-19 患者。评估了疾病严重程度、合并症、症状和实验室发现对临床结局的影响。使用 Cox 比例风险模型评估与不良结局(需要机械通气或死亡)相关的因素。
在总共 728 名患者中,53.8%为男性,中位年龄为 54 岁。所有住院患者的 30 天死亡率为 4.9%。逻辑回归模型确定了 6 个不良临床结局的预测因素:年龄、疾病严重程度、合并症数量、淋巴细胞减少、C 反应蛋白水平升高和降钙素原水平升高。
在疫情早期住院的 COVID-19 患者死亡率较低。年龄较大、入院时严重程度评分较高、合并症数量较多、C 反应蛋白、降钙素原和淋巴细胞减少水平较高与 COVID-19 住院患者不良结局相关。