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一场推广减肥智能手机应用程序的大众媒体宣传活动的成本效益:更新后的建模研究。

The Cost-effectiveness of a Mass Media Campaign to Promote Smartphone Apps for Weight Loss: Updated Modeling Study.

作者信息

Jones Amanda C, Grout Leah, Wilson Nick, Nghiem Nhung, Cleghorn Christine

机构信息

Department of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.

出版信息

JMIR Form Res. 2022 Apr 19;6(4):e29291. doi: 10.2196/29291.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Evidence suggests that smartphone apps can be effective in the self-management of weight. Given the low cost, broad reach, and apparent effectiveness of weight loss apps, governments may seek to encourage their uptake as a tool to reduce excess weight in the population. Mass media campaigns are 1 mechanism for promoting app use. However, the cost and potential cost-effectiveness are important considerations.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of our study was to use modeling to assess the health impacts, health system costs, cost-effectiveness, and health equity of a mass media campaign to promote high-quality smartphone apps for weight loss in New Zealand.

METHODS

We used an established proportional multistate life table model that simulates the 2011 New Zealand adult population over the lifetime, subgrouped by age, sex, and ethnicity (Māori [Indigenous] or non-Māori). The risk factor was BMI. The model compared business as usual to a one-off mass media campaign intervention, which included the pooled effect size from a recent meta-analysis of smartphone weight loss apps. The resulting impact on BMI and BMI-related diseases was captured through changes in health gain (quality-adjusted life years) and in health system costs. The difference in total health system costs was the net sum of intervention costs and downstream cost offsets because of altered disease rates. An annual discount rate of 3% was applied to health gains and health system costs. Multiple scenarios and sensitivity analyses were conducted, including an equity adjustment.

RESULTS

Across the remaining lifetime of the modeled 2011 New Zealand population, the mass media campaign to promote weight loss app use had an estimated overall health gain of 181 (95% uncertainty interval 113-270) quality-adjusted life years and health care costs of -NZ $606,000 (-US $408,000; 95% uncertainty interval -NZ $2,540,000 [-US $1,709,000] to NZ $907,000 [US $610,000]). The mean health care costs were negative, representing overall savings to the health system. Across the outcomes examined in this study, the modeled mass media campaign to promote weight loss apps among the general population would be expected to provide higher per capita health gain for Māori and hence reduce health inequities arising from high BMI, assuming that the intervention would be as effective for Māori as it is for non-Māori.

CONCLUSIONS

A modeled mass media campaign to encourage the adoption of smartphone apps to promote weight loss among the New Zealand adult population is expected to yield an overall gain in health and to be cost-saving to the health system. Although other interventions in the nutrition and physical activity space are even more beneficial to health and produce larger cost savings (eg, fiscal policies and food reformulation), governments may choose to include strategies to promote health app use as complementary measures.

摘要

背景

有证据表明,智能手机应用程序在体重自我管理方面可能有效。鉴于减肥应用程序成本低、覆盖面广且效果明显,政府可能会寻求鼓励人们使用这些程序,将其作为减少人群超重的一种工具。大众媒体宣传活动是促进应用程序使用的一种机制。然而,成本和潜在的成本效益是需要重点考虑的因素。

目的

我们研究的目的是通过建模来评估在新西兰开展一场大众媒体宣传活动,以推广高质量减肥智能手机应用程序所产生的健康影响、卫生系统成本、成本效益和健康公平性。

方法

我们使用了一个既定的比例多状态生命表模型,该模型模拟了2011年新西兰成年人口的一生,并按年龄、性别和种族(毛利人[原住民]或非毛利人)进行了分组。风险因素是体重指数(BMI)。该模型将照常营业的情况与一次性大众媒体宣传活动干预进行了比较,其中包括最近一项关于智能手机减肥应用程序的荟萃分析的综合效应量。通过健康收益(质量调整生命年)的变化和卫生系统成本的变化,来体现对BMI及与BMI相关疾病的影响。卫生系统总成本的差异是干预成本与因疾病发生率改变而产生的下游成本抵消的净总和。对健康收益和卫生系统成本应用3%的年贴现率。进行了多种情景分析和敏感性分析,包括公平性调整。

结果

在模拟的2011年新西兰人口的剩余寿命期间,推广减肥应用程序使用的大众媒体宣传活动估计总体健康收益为18l个质量调整生命年(95%不确定区间为113 - 270),卫生保健成本为 - 606,000新西兰元( - 408,000美元;95%不确定区间为 - 2,540,000新西兰元[ - 1,709,000美元]至907,000新西兰元[610,000美元])。平均卫生保健成本为负,这代表着卫生系统的总体节省。在本研究中所考察的各项结果中,假设该干预措施对毛利人的效果与对非毛利人的效果相同,那么在普通人群中开展的模拟大众媒体宣传活动预计将为毛利人带来更高的人均健康收益,从而减少因高BMI导致的健康不平等。

结论

一场模拟的大众媒体宣传活动,旨在鼓励新西兰成年人口采用智能手机应用程序来促进减肥,预计将带来整体健康收益,并为卫生系统节省成本。尽管在营养和体育活动领域的其他干预措施对健康更有益且能产生更大的成本节省(例如财政政策和食品配方调整),但政府可能会选择将推广健康应用程序使用的策略作为补充措施。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5af1/9066337/818e3eedc057/formative_v6i4e29291_fig1.jpg

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