Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 95060.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 May 3;119(18):e2108878119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2108878119. Epub 2022 Apr 21.
A better understanding of how environmental change will affect species interactions would significantly aid efforts to scale up predictions of near-future responses to global change from individuals to ecosystems. To address this need, we used meta-analysis to quantify the individual and combined effects of ocean acidification (OA) and warming on consumption rates of predators and herbivores in marine ecosystems. Although the primary studies demonstrated that these environmental variables can have direct effects on consumers, our analyses highlight high variability in consumption rates in response to OA and warming. This variability likely reflects differences in local adaptation among species, as well as important methodological differences. For example, our results suggest that exposure of consumers to OA reduces consumption rates on average, yet consumption rates actually increase when both consumers and their resource(s) are concurrently exposed to the same conditions. We hypothesize that this disparity is due to increased vulnerability of prey or resource(s) in conditions of OA that offset declines in consumption. This hypothesis is supported by an analysis demonstrating clear declines in prey survival in studies that exposed only prey to future OA conditions. Our results illustrate how simultaneous OA and warming produce complex outcomes when species interact. Researchers should further explore other potential sources of variation in response, as well as the prey-driven component of any changes in consumption and the potential for interactive effects of OA and warming.
更好地理解环境变化将如何影响物种相互作用,将极大地有助于从个体到生态系统的层面,扩大对全球变化下近未来反应的预测。为了满足这一需求,我们使用荟萃分析来量化海洋酸化 (OA) 和变暖对海洋生态系统中捕食者和草食动物摄食率的单独和综合影响。尽管主要研究表明这些环境变量可以对消费者产生直接影响,但我们的分析强调了对 OA 和变暖的摄食率的高度可变性。这种可变性可能反映了物种间的局部适应性差异,以及重要的方法学差异。例如,我们的结果表明,消费者暴露于 OA 平均会降低摄食率,但当消费者及其资源同时暴露于相同条件下时,摄食率实际上会增加。我们假设这种差异是由于 OA 条件下猎物或资源的脆弱性增加,抵消了摄食率的下降。这一假设得到了一项分析的支持,该分析表明,仅将猎物暴露于未来 OA 条件下的研究中,猎物的存活率明显下降。我们的结果说明了当物种相互作用时,同时的 OA 和变暖如何产生复杂的结果。研究人员应该进一步探索其他潜在的反应变化来源,以及摄食率变化中的猎物驱动成分,以及 OA 和变暖的交互作用的可能性。