Sustainable Process Integration Laboratory - SPIL, NETME Centre, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Brno University of Technology - VUT Brno, Technická 2896/2, 616 69, Brno, Czech Republic.
Center of Excellence in Environmental Studies, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, 21589, Saudi Arabia.
J Environ Manage. 2022 Jul 15;314:115024. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115024. Epub 2022 Apr 7.
This paper examines and projects the water use and wastewater generation during and after the SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) in China, and discussed the water use/wastewater generation pattern changes among different sectors. Existing studies on the impact of pandemic spread-prevention measures on water consumption and wastewater treatment during the pandemic are reviewed. The water use and wastewater discharge in China through the COVID-19 period are then projected and analyzed using Multivariate Linear Regression. The projection is carried out for years 2019-2023 and covers an (estimated) full process of pre-pandemic, pandemic outbreak, and recovery phase and provides essential information for determining the complete phase impact of the COVID-19. Two scenarios, i.e. the recovery scenario and the business as usual scenario, are set to investigate the water use and wastewater generation characteristics after the pandemic. The results imply that in both scenarios, the water use in China shows a V-shaped trend from 2019 to 2023 and reached a low point in 2020 of 5,813✕10 m. The wastewater discharge shows an increasing trend throughout the COVID period in both scenarios. The results are also compared with the water consumption and wastewater generation during the SARS-CoV-1 period. The implication for policymakers is the possible increase of water use and wastewater discharge in the post COVID period and the necessity to ensure the water supply and control of water pollution and wastewater discharge.
本文考察并预测了 SARS-CoV-2(COVID-19)在中国期间和之后的用水量和废水产生量,并讨论了不同部门的用水/废水产生模式变化。回顾了现有关于大流行预防措施对大流行期间用水和废水处理影响的研究。然后使用多元线性回归对中国 COVID-19 期间的用水量和污水排放量进行预测和分析。该预测针对 2019-2023 年进行,涵盖了(估计)大流行前、大流行爆发和恢复阶段的整个过程,并为确定 COVID-19 的完整阶段影响提供了必要信息。设置了两种情景,即恢复情景和照常营业情景,以研究大流行后的用水和废水产生特征。结果表明,在这两种情况下,中国的用水量在 2019 年至 2023 年呈 V 形趋势,2020 年达到最低点,为 5813✕10m。在这两种情况下,废水排放量在整个 COVID 期间都呈上升趋势。结果还与 SARS-CoV-1 期间的用水量和废水排放量进行了比较。对政策制定者的启示是,COVID 后时期用水和废水排放量可能会增加,有必要确保供水和控制水污染和废水排放。