School of Reliability & Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, China.
Risk Anal. 2023 Jan;43(1):114-128. doi: 10.1111/risa.13934. Epub 2022 Apr 22.
During public emergencies, the level of public safety will be resilient and follow a process from decline to rise. Regarding the concept and influencing factors of public safety resilience, a three-level public safety resilience framework that includes personal, community, and government levels was proposed in this study. It provided the overall metrics that used the resistance and recovery ability to describe the dynamic characteristics of public safety resilience as well as the resilience assessment indexes on three levels. In the context of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, this study applied the proposed framework in a case study on public safety resilience at the Beihang community, Beijing, China through descriptive statistics, structural equation model, and principal component regression analysis of questionnaire data. The data analysis results showed that community resilience was the most important of the three levels of public safety resilience. In addition, community resilience could improve personal resilience, and government resilience had a positive effect on community and personal resilience. Compared with the resistance ability, the recovery ability was influenced more by the operation and improvement of the community. This study is conducive to understanding and improving public safety resilience on the personal, community, and government levels and can help relevant parties improve their ability to respond to the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, the methods used in this study can be extended to other studies on public emergencies.
在公共紧急事件中，公共安全水平将具有弹性，并遵循从下降到上升的过程。关于公共安全弹性的概念和影响因素，本研究提出了一个包括个人、社区和政府三个层次的三级公共安全弹性框架。它提供了整体指标，使用抵抗力和恢复能力来描述公共安全弹性的动态特征，以及三个层次的弹性评估指标。在 2019 年冠状病毒病（COVID-19）大流行的背景下，本研究通过描述性统计、问卷调查数据的结构方程模型和主成分回归分析，将所提出的框架应用于中国北京航空航天社区的公共安全弹性案例研究。数据分析结果表明，社区弹性是公共安全弹性三个层次中最重要的。此外，社区弹性可以提高个人弹性，政府弹性对社区和个人弹性都有积极影响。与抵抗力相比，恢复力受社区运行和改进的影响更大。本研究有助于理解和提高个人、社区和政府层面的公共安全弹性，并帮助相关方提高应对 COVID-19 大流行的能力。此外，本研究中使用的方法可以扩展到其他公共紧急事件的研究中。
