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服务业碳排放与经济发展脱钩关系研究——以中国 30 个省份为例

Decoupling relationship between carbon emission and economic development in the service sector: case of 30 provinces in China.

机构信息

College of Tourism, Hunan Normal University, Changsha, China.

Geography Department, Dimitrie Cantemir University, Targu Mures, Romania.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Sep;29(42):63846-63858. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-20032-4. Epub 2022 Apr 25.

Abstract

The decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and the economic development in the service sector is conducive to promoting sustainable development. Taking 30 provinces of China as case studies, this study not only examined the decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economic development in the service sector by adopting Tapio decoupling elasticity model but it also explored the driving factors affecting the changes of carbon emissions of the service sector at different stages by using the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index. The main results are as follows. First, the rapid development of the service sector inevitably consumed a large number of energies, thus generating a deal of carbon emissions in China. Second, the majority of provinces have achieved a weak decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economic development in the service sector during the four Five-Year Plans. Third, although the inhibiting effect of energy efficiency and energy structure saw a fluctuant growth trend, the provincial average accumulative reduction of carbon emissions was still smaller than that of the industry scale.

摘要

服务业碳排放与经济发展脱钩关系的研究有利于促进可持续发展。本研究以中国 30 个省份为案例,采用 Tapio 脱钩弹性模型不仅检验了服务业碳排放与经济发展的脱钩关系,而且利用对数平均迪氏指数法探讨了不同阶段服务业碳排放变化的驱动因素。主要结果如下:首先,服务业的快速发展必然消耗大量能源,从而在中国产生大量碳排放。其次,在四个五年计划期间,中国大多数省份的服务业碳排放与经济发展之间实现了弱脱钩关系。第三,尽管能源效率和能源结构的抑制效应呈现波动增长趋势,但省级平均累计碳排放量的减少仍小于产业规模。

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