Development and Validation of a Four Adenosine-to-Inosine RNA Editing Site-Relevant Prognostic Signature for Assessing Survival in Breast Cancer Patients.

BACKGROUND

Adenosine-to-inosine RNA editing (ATIRE) is increasingly being used to characterize cancer. However, no studies have been conducted to identify an ATIRE signature for predicting cancer survival.

METHODS

Breast cancer (BRCA) samples with ATIRE profiles from The Cancer Genome Atlas were divided into training (n = 452) and internal validation cohorts (n = 311), and 197 additional BRCA patients were recruited as an external validation cohort. The ATIRE signature for BRCA overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were identified using forest algorithm analysis and experimentally verified by direct sequencing. An ATIRE-based risk score (AIRS) was established with these selected ATIRE sites. Significantly prognostic factors were incorporated to generate a nomogram that was evaluated using Harrell's C-index and calibration plot for all cohorts.

RESULTS

Seven ATIRE sites were revealed to be associated with both BRCA OS and DFS, of which four sites were experimentally confirmed. Patients with high AIRS displayed a higher risk of death than those with low AIRS in the training (hazard ratio (HR) = 3.142, 95%CI = 1.932-5.111), internal validation (HR = 2.097, 95%CI = 1.123-3.914), and external validation cohorts (HR = 2.680, 95%CI = 1.000-7.194). A similar hazard effect of high AIRS on DFS was also observed. The nomogram yielded Harrell's C-indexes of 0.816 (95%CI = 0.784-0.847), 0.742 (95%CI = 0.684-0.799), and 0.869 (95%CI = 0.835-0.902) for predicting OS and 0.767 (95%CI = 0.708-0.826), 0.684 (95%CI = 0.605-0.763), and 0.635 (95%CI = 0.566-0.705) for predicting DFS in the three cohorts.

CONCLUSION

AIRS nomogram could help to predict OS and DFS of patients with BRCA.