Wei Hui-Ting, Liu Wei, Ma Yue-Rong, Chen Shi
School of Basic Medicine, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China.
West China School of Public Health, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Front Cardiovasc Med. 2022 Apr 14;9:859771. doi: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.859771. eCollection 2022.
Multiparametric models have shown better risk stratification in Brugada syndrome. Recently, these models have been validated in different populations.
To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of the predictive performance of three validated multiparametric models (Delise model, Sieria model, and Shanghai score).
We searched PubMed, Embase, MEDLINE, Web of Science, and Ovid for studies validating the risk multiparametric model. A Sieria score > 2 and Shanghai score ≥ 4 were considered to indicate higher risk. Performance estimates were summarized using a random-effects model.
Seven studies were included, with sample sizes of 111-1,613. The follow-up duration was 3.3-10.18 years. The Sieria model had a pooled area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity of 0.71 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.67-0.75], 57% (95% CI: 35-76), and 71% (95% CI: 62-79), respectively. The Shanghai score had an AUC of 0.63-0.71, 68.97-90.67% sensitivity, and 43.53-63.43% specificity. The AUC of the Delise model was 0.77-0.87; however, the optimal cut-off was not identified.
The three models exhibited moderate discriminatory ability for Brugada syndrome. The Sieria model has poor sensitivity and moderate specificity, whereas the Shanghai score has poor specificity and moderate sensitivity.
多参数模型在Brugada综合征中显示出更好的风险分层。最近,这些模型已在不同人群中得到验证。
对三种经过验证的多参数模型(德利塞模型、西利亚模型和上海评分)的预测性能进行系统评价和荟萃分析。
我们在PubMed、Embase、MEDLINE、Web of Science和Ovid上检索了验证风险多参数模型的研究。西利亚评分>2和上海评分≥4被认为表明风险较高。使用随机效应模型总结性能估计值。
纳入7项研究,样本量为111-1613。随访时间为3.3-10.18年。西利亚模型的曲线下面积(AUC)、敏感性和特异性合并值分别为0.71[95%置信区间(CI):0.67-0.75]、57%(95%CI:35-76)和71%(95%CI:62-79)。上海评分的AUC为0.63-0.71,敏感性为68.97-90.67%,特异性为43.53-63.43%。德利塞模型的AUC为0.77-0.87;然而,未确定最佳截断值。
这三种模型对Brugada综合征具有中等的鉴别能力。西利亚模型敏感性差但特异性中等,而上海评分特异性差但敏感性中等。