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评估蔡斯·尤特利规则:美国职业棒球大联盟规则变更与碰撞相关伤害之间的关联

Evaluating the Chase Utley Rule: The Association Between a Rule Change and Collision-Related Injuries in Major League Baseball.

作者信息

Tanenbaum Joseph E, Knapik Derrick M, Karns Michael R, Salata Michael J, Gillespie Robert J, Voos James E

机构信息

Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine, Cleveland, Ohio, USA.

University Hospitals Cleveland Medical Center, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio, USA.

出版信息

Orthop J Sports Med. 2022 Apr 26;10(4):23259671221090899. doi: 10.1177/23259671221090899. eCollection 2022 Apr.

DOI:10.1177/23259671221090899
PMID:35558142
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9087261/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Major League Baseball (MLB) adopted a rule change in 2016 to reduce the number of collisions that occur when a player slides into a base. The effect of rule 6.01(j) has not been quantified, and it remains unknown if this rule change has led to improved player safety.

HYPOTHESIS

Rule 6.01(j) would be associated with a reduction in the number of collision-related injuries at second base.

STUDY DESIGN

Cohort study; Level of evidence, 3.

METHODS

Using data from the MLB Health and Injury Tracking System, we quantified the number of collision-related injuries for defensive (ie, fielding) players in the infield at the major and minor league levels between the 2010 and 2019 seasons. We compared the median number of collision-related injuries for defensive players in the infield from before (2010-2015) to after (2016-2019) the implementation of rule 6.01(j) and also calculated the difference in location of the median from the seasons before versus after the rule change. An additional 3 analyses were performed to support or contradict a conclusion that any observed reduction in injuries at the start of the 2016 season was likely caused by the adoption of rule 6.01(j).

RESULTS

The median number of collision-related injuries for defensive players at second base decreased from 58.5 to 37.5 injuries per season after the rule change, which was a 36% decrease (difference in location, 19.5 [95% CI, 5.0 to 31.0]; = .019). In contrast, the median number of collision-related injuries at first base decreased by only 14.1%, from 49.5 before to 42.5 after the rule change (difference in location, -9.0 [95% CI, -4.0 to 18.0]; = .16), and the median number of collision-related injuries per season at third base was unchanged at 15 per season.

CONCLUSION

This rule change was associated with a decrease in the number of collision-related injuries, with the largest effect observed at second base, as expected.

摘要

背景

美国职业棒球大联盟(MLB)在2016年通过了一项规则变更,以减少球员滑垒时发生碰撞的次数。规则6.01(j)的效果尚未量化,该规则变更是否提高了球员安全性仍不清楚。

假设

规则6.01(j)将与二垒碰撞相关损伤的数量减少相关。

研究设计

队列研究;证据等级,3级。

方法

利用MLB健康与损伤追踪系统的数据,我们对2010年至2019赛季美国职业棒球大联盟及小联盟内场防守(即守备)球员的碰撞相关损伤数量进行了量化。我们比较了规则6.01(j)实施前(2010 - 2015年)和实施后(2016 - 2019年)内场防守球员碰撞相关损伤的中位数,并计算了规则变更前后赛季中位数位置的差异。还进行了另外三项分析,以支持或反驳2016赛季初观察到的任何损伤减少可能是由于采用规则6.01(j)导致的这一结论。

结果

规则变更后,二垒防守球员碰撞相关损伤的中位数从每个赛季58.5例降至37.5例,降幅为36%(位置差异,19.5 [95%可信区间,5.0至31.0];P = 0.019)。相比之下,一垒碰撞相关损伤的中位数仅下降了14.1%,从之前的49.5例降至规则变更后的42.5例(位置差异, - 9.0 [95%可信区间, - 4.0至18.0];P = 0.16),三垒每个赛季碰撞相关损伤的中位数保持不变,为15例。

结论

如预期的那样,这一规则变更与碰撞相关损伤数量的减少相关,在二垒观察到的效果最为显著。

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